True Data Valuation

Is 4416 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4416 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4416 (¥462) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥730.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4416 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4416?

Key metric: As 4416 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4416. This is calculated by dividing 4416's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4416's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	24.9x
Earnings	JP¥88.00m
Market Cap	JP¥2.04b

4416 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	6.9x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4416's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4416 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	19.7x
3646 Ekitan	44.3x	n/a	JP¥1.9b
4445 Living Technologies	7.3x	n/a	JP¥1.9b
7077 ALiNK Internet	21.1x	n/a	JP¥1.8b
3416 PIXTA	6.3x	n/a	JP¥2.4b
4416 True Data	24.9x	n/a	JP¥2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4416 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4416's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Interactive Media and Services Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4416 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the JP Interactive Media and Services industry average (21.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4416's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4416 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	24.9x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4416's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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