HEROZ Valuation

Is 4382 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4382 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4382 (¥1010) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥278.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4382 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4382?

Key metric: As 4382 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4382. This is calculated by dividing 4382's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4382's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3x
SalesJP¥5.13b
Market CapJP¥15.22b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4382's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4382 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
3903 gumi
1.5xn/aJP¥17.9b
4393 Bank of InnovationInc
1.6xn/aJP¥21.7b
3662 Ateam
0.5xn/aJP¥12.0b
3793 DrecomLtd
2.4x30.0%JP¥20.7b
4382 HEROZ
3x13.1%JP¥15.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4382 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4382's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Entertainment Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7060 geechs
0.2x3.9%US$27.66m
2402 amana
0.1xn/aUS$11.46m
No more companies available in this PS range
4382 3.0xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies12PS00.81.62.43.24+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4382 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the JP Entertainment industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4382's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4382 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4382 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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