Mobile Factory, Inc.

TSE:3912 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥7.2b

Mobile Factory Valuation

Is 3912 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3912 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3912 (¥954) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2034.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3912 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3912?

Key metric: As 3912 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 3912. This is calculated by dividing 3912's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 3912's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.2x
SalesJP¥3.28b
Market CapJP¥7.20b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 3912's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 3912 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
6033 ExtremeLtd
0.7xn/aJP¥7.5b
3904 KAYAC
0.5xn/aJP¥8.2b
3758 Aeria
0.3xn/aJP¥5.7b
3911 Aiming
0.6xn/aJP¥9.7b
3912 Mobile Factory
2.2x5.5%JP¥7.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 3912 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 3912's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Entertainment Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7060 geechs
0.2x3.9%US$27.50m
2402 amana
0.1xn/aUS$11.46m
No more companies available in this PS range
3912 2.2xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies14PS00.81.62.43.24+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 3912 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the JP Entertainment industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3912's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3912 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 3912 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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