Stock Analysis
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that KAYAC Inc. (TSE:3904) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does KAYAC Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 KAYAC had debt of JP¥3.14b, up from JP¥2.11b in one year. But it also has JP¥5.41b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥2.28b net cash.
How Strong Is KAYAC's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that KAYAC had liabilities of JP¥4.26b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥2.06b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥5.41b in cash and JP¥2.49b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥1.59b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that KAYAC is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that KAYAC has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for KAYAC if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 35% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since KAYAC will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While KAYAC has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, KAYAC generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 93% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case KAYAC has JP¥2.28b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of JP¥974m, being 93% of its EBIT. So we don't think KAYAC's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for KAYAC you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3904
KAYAC
Engages in the content business in Japan.