Stock Analysis

There May Be Reason For Hope In Nihon Falcom's (TSE:3723) Disappointing Earnings

TSE:3723
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The most recent earnings report from Nihon Falcom Corporation (TSE:3723) was disappointing for shareholders. Despite the soft profit numbers, our analysis has optimistic about the overall quality of the income statement.

We've discovered 2 warning signs about Nihon Falcom. View them for free.
earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:3723 Earnings and Revenue History May 22nd 2025
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Examining Cashflow Against Nihon Falcom's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Nihon Falcom has an accrual ratio of -0.29 for the year to March 2025. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of JP¥610m, well over the JP¥539.0m it reported in profit. Nihon Falcom did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Nihon Falcom.

Our Take On Nihon Falcom's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Nihon Falcom produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Nihon Falcom's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Nihon Falcom has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Nihon Falcom's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nihon Falcom might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.