Ceres Inc.

TSE:3696 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥24.8b

Ceres Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Ceres's earnings are forecast to decline at 11.8% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 15.1% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 14% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.3% in 3 years.

Key information

-11.8%

Earnings growth rate

-14.03%

EPS growth rate

Media earnings growth16.0%
Revenue growth rate15.1%
Future return on equity14.30%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated30 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Jul 01

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Ceres Inc. (TSE:3696)?

Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 49% in the...
Narrative Update May 19

An unexpected beneficiary of improving profitability at Japan’s leading financial institutions

Q1 FY12/26 results update The Point segment was an unexpected beneficiary of Japan's financial services re-rating — The end of negative interest rates and the new NISA have structurally elevated customer acquisition budgets among banks, brokerages, and card issuers, with affiliate channels, such as Moppy, emerging as an area that saw increased advertising spend. The Point segment saw record revenue and gross profit in Q1, which is expected to moderate QoQ due to seasonality.
New Narrative Apr 09

Proven business incubator in transition

Initiating coverage A serial incubator of digital businesses, trading at a material discount – Ceres has a demonstrated track record of building businesses from scratch and crystallizing value at attractive returns. The Company incubated D2C from ¥10mn to ¥4.9bn in revenue, grew labol's GMV approximately 70x in four years, and generated a post-tax MOIC of 6.6x and ~31% IRR on the YUMEMI investment over eight years.
Analysis Article Oct 09

Ceres' (TSE:3696) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Ceres Inc.'s ( TSE:3696 ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 26th of March to ¥80.00, with investors receiving...
Analysis Article Sep 19

Here's Why Ceres (TSE:3696) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Aug 24

Ceres' (TSE:3696) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Ceres Inc.'s ( TSE:3696 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis...
Analysis Article Jun 23

Earnings Not Telling The Story For Ceres Inc. (TSE:3696) After Shares Rise 29%

Those holding Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last...
Analysis Article Apr 07

Ceres Inc.'s (TSE:3696) 28% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month...
Analysis Article Apr 01

Ceres (TSE:3696) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a...
Analysis Article Feb 21

We Think Ceres' (TSE:3696) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) recently. We did some digging and...
Analysis Article Feb 11

These 4 Measures Indicate That Ceres (TSE:3696) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Dec 23

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Ceres Inc. (TSE:3696) With Shares Advancing 31%

Despite an already strong run, Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 31% in the last...
Analysis Article Nov 29

Returns On Capital At Ceres (TSE:3696) Have Hit The Brakes

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and...
Analysis Article Nov 08

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Ceres Inc. (TSE:3696) With Shares Advancing 51%

Despite an already strong run, Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 51% in the last...
Analysis Article Oct 11

Ceres (TSE:3696) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥20.00

Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥20.00 per share on the 27th of March. Including...
Analysis Article Aug 09

With A 26% Price Drop For Ceres Inc. (TSE:3696) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month...
Analysis Article Aug 07

Ceres' (TSE:3696) Returns Have Hit A Wall

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Analysis Article May 21

Ceres Inc.'s (TSE:3696) 33% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the last month...
Analysis Article Apr 22

Returns On Capital At Ceres (TSE:3696) Paint A Concerning Picture

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
Analysis Article Apr 03

Ceres' (TSE:3696) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Even though Ceres Inc.'s ( TSE:3696 ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Investors...
Analysis Article Feb 26

Revenues Tell The Story For Ceres Inc. (TSE:3696) As Its Stock Soars 42%

Ceres Inc. ( TSE:3696 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 42% gain in the last month alone. Looking...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:3696 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202847,7503,4103,550N/A1
12/31/202741,8102,6303,630N/A1
12/31/202635,7606,000680N/A1
3/31/202631,4963,548N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202529,6602,4971,1841,670N/A
9/30/202529,7573,026N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202530,4092,3591,1621,478N/A
3/31/202528,674591N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202427,7061,480105722N/A
9/30/202426,9951,186N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202426,0017704581,226N/A
3/31/202425,2631,082N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202324,0704515581,061N/A
9/30/202322,817139N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202322,1585409431,408N/A
3/31/202321,352-142N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202220,53646-314101N/A
9/30/202220,193-290N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202220,133838-650-468N/A
3/31/202221,6441,825N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202123,4022,7759841,162N/A
9/30/202123,8533,180N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202123,4822,1561,6692,061N/A
3/31/202122,0751,781N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202020,2137441,8572,258N/A
9/30/202019,058507N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202018,353308631,162N/A
3/31/202017,055238N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201916,51074N/A770N/A
9/30/201915,360-196N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201810,706387N/A495N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 3696's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-11.8% per year).

Earnings vs Market: 3696's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-11.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 3696's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 3696's revenue (15.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (6.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 3696's revenue (15.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 3696's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.3%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/05 05:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/03 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ceres Inc. is covered by 2 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullAstris Advisory Japan, K.K.
Masanori KadoyaMarusan Securities Co. Ltd.