FP Corporation

TSE:7947 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥213.5b

FP Valuation

Is 7947 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7947 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7947 (¥2651) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3902.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7947 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7947?

Key metric: As 7947 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7947. This is calculated by dividing 7947's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7947's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.5x
EarningsJP¥10.94b
Market CapJP¥213.53b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7947's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7947 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.6x
7864 Fuji Seal International
12.5x8.9%JP¥132.6b
5901 Toyo Seikan Group Holdings
18.7x7.4%JP¥375.6b
5902 Hokkan Holdings
7.9xn/aJP¥21.0b
5210 Nihon Yamamura Glass
3.4xn/aJP¥16.9b
7947 FP
19.6x10.9%JP¥210.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7947 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (10.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7947's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7947 19.5xIndustry Avg. 10.3xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7947 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the JP Packaging industry average (10.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7947's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7947 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.5x
Fair PE Ratio12.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7947 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7947 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,641.00
JP¥3,318.33
+25.6%
12.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,800.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥2,685.00
JP¥3,401.67
+26.7%
13.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,800.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥2,792.50
JP¥3,385.00
+21.2%
14.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥2,730.50
JP¥3,385.00
+24.0%
14.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥2,540.00
JP¥3,385.00
+33.3%
14.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥2,415.50
JP¥3,418.33
+41.5%
15.2%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,700.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥2,442.50
JP¥3,453.33
+41.4%
14.4%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,700.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥2,600.00
JP¥3,486.67
+34.1%
13.7%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,700.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥2,770.50
JP¥3,520.00
+27.1%
12.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,900.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥2,765.50
JP¥3,520.00
+27.3%
12.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,900.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥2,776.00
JP¥3,551.67
+27.9%
11.6%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,900.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥2,971.00
JP¥3,651.67
+22.9%
13.6%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,900.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥2,792.00
JP¥3,651.67
+30.8%
13.6%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,900.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥2,932.00
JP¥3,601.43
+22.8%
11.4%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,685.007
Oct ’24JP¥2,402.50
JP¥3,601.43
+49.9%
11.4%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,792.507
Sep ’24JP¥2,796.50
JP¥3,672.86
+31.3%
8.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,730.507
Aug ’24JP¥2,935.50
JP¥3,672.86
+25.1%
8.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,540.007
Jul ’24JP¥2,926.50
JP¥3,672.86
+25.5%
8.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,415.507
Jun ’24JP¥2,877.00
JP¥3,815.71
+32.6%
10.4%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,442.507
May ’24JP¥3,075.00
JP¥4,014.29
+30.5%
16.1%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,600.007
Apr ’24JP¥3,280.00
JP¥4,228.57
+28.9%
12.8%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,770.507
Mar ’24JP¥3,420.00
JP¥4,228.57
+23.6%
12.8%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,765.507
Feb ’24JP¥3,785.00
JP¥4,171.43
+10.2%
10.1%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,776.007
Jan ’24JP¥3,790.00
JP¥4,114.29
+8.6%
12.7%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,971.007
Dec ’23JP¥3,770.00
JP¥4,114.29
+9.1%
12.7%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,792.007
Nov ’23JP¥3,685.00
JP¥3,885.71
+5.4%
16.5%JP¥4,800.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,932.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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