Stock Analysis
PILLAR Corporation (TSE:6490) Half-Yearly Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
PILLAR Corporation (TSE:6490) came out with its interim results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. PILLAR reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of JP¥29b and statutory earnings per share of JP¥463, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on PILLAR after the latest results.
View our latest analysis for PILLAR
Following the latest results, PILLAR's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of JP¥62.8b in 2025. This would be a reasonable 6.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 2.8% to JP¥419. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥63.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥422 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of JP¥6,710, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic PILLAR analyst has a price target of JP¥6,720 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥6,700. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that PILLAR is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that PILLAR's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 13% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 17% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 5.2% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while PILLAR's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for PILLAR going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for PILLAR you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6490
PILLAR
Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells various fluid control equipment in Japan.