Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd.

TSE:5713 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.4t

Sumitomo Metal Mining Valuation

Is 5713 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5713 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5713 (¥5265) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥11094.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5713 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5713?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

5713 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.9x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5713's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5713 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.3x
5714 Dowa Holdings
15.8x6.8%JP¥345.3b
5711 Mitsubishi Materials
9.1x3.4%JP¥396.7b
5706 Mitsui Mining & Smelting
43.3x20.5%JP¥279.8b
1515 Nittetsu Mining
9.1xn/aJP¥80.4b
5713 Sumitomo Metal Mining
21.9x17.4%JP¥1.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5713 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x) compared to the peer average (19.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5713's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5713 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x) compared to the JP Metals and Mining industry average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5713's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5713 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.9x
Fair PE Ratio21.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5713 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5713 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥5,265.00
JP¥4,556.25
-13.5%
15.2%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,900.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥4,592.00
JP¥4,212.50
-8.3%
10.7%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,700.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥3,961.00
JP¥4,356.25
+10.0%
14.6%JP¥5,800.00JP¥3,750.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥4,058.00
JP¥4,401.25
+8.5%
14.1%JP¥5,800.00JP¥3,750.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥4,246.00
JP¥4,618.75
+8.8%
13.6%JP¥5,800.00JP¥3,900.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥4,274.00
JP¥4,631.25
+8.4%
13.5%JP¥5,800.00JP¥3,900.00n/a8
Nov ’24JP¥4,301.00
JP¥4,638.75
+7.9%
13.4%JP¥5,800.00JP¥3,900.00n/a8
Oct ’24JP¥4,399.00
JP¥4,770.00
+8.4%
16.4%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,900.00n/a8
Sep ’24JP¥4,565.00
JP¥4,736.25
+3.8%
17.4%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,670.00n/a8
Aug ’24JP¥4,941.00
JP¥4,835.56
-2.1%
15.8%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,670.00n/a9
Jul ’24JP¥4,631.00
JP¥4,824.44
+4.2%
15.7%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,670.00n/a9
Jun ’24JP¥4,258.00
JP¥5,126.67
+20.4%
18.5%JP¥6,670.00JP¥3,770.00n/a9
May ’24JP¥5,029.00
JP¥5,454.44
+8.5%
16.3%JP¥6,670.00JP¥3,770.00JP¥5,218.009
Apr ’24JP¥5,049.00
JP¥5,398.89
+6.9%
17.1%JP¥6,670.00JP¥3,770.00JP¥4,592.009
Mar ’24JP¥5,261.00
JP¥5,351.11
+1.7%
17.6%JP¥6,670.00JP¥3,840.00JP¥3,961.009
Feb ’24JP¥5,272.00
JP¥5,256.67
-0.3%
18.4%JP¥6,670.00JP¥3,840.00JP¥4,058.009
Jan ’24JP¥4,671.00
JP¥5,181.00
+10.9%
19.3%JP¥6,670.00JP¥3,840.00JP¥4,246.0010
Dec ’23JP¥4,722.00
JP¥5,184.00
+9.8%
19.5%JP¥6,580.00JP¥3,760.00JP¥4,274.0010
Nov ’23JP¥4,271.00
JP¥5,155.00
+20.7%
21.4%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,760.00JP¥4,301.0010
Oct ’23JP¥4,160.00
JP¥5,195.00
+24.9%
20.9%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,760.00JP¥4,399.0010
Sep ’23JP¥4,239.00
JP¥5,529.00
+30.4%
19.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,565.0010
Aug ’23JP¥4,299.00
JP¥5,814.00
+35.2%
19.5%JP¥8,000.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,941.0010
Jul ’23JP¥4,136.00
JP¥6,024.00
+45.6%
19.2%JP¥8,000.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,631.0010
Jun ’23JP¥5,407.00
JP¥6,239.00
+15.4%
15.6%JP¥8,000.00JP¥4,500.00JP¥4,258.0010
May ’23JP¥5,671.00
JP¥6,239.00
+10.0%
16.0%JP¥8,200.00JP¥4,500.00JP¥5,029.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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