Nippon Light Metal Holdings Company, Ltd.

TSE:5703 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥93.3b

Nippon Light Metal Holdings Company Valuation

Is 5703 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5703 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5703 (¥1506) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1762.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5703 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5703?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

5703 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.8x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5703's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5703 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
5702 Daiki Aluminium Industry
17xn/aJP¥43.0b
5741 UACJ
9.7x5.4%JP¥251.2b
7637 Hakudo
12.7xn/aJP¥27.2b
5482 Aichi Steel
19.2xn/aJP¥96.6b
5703 Nippon Light Metal Holdings Company
8x7.1%JP¥93.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5703 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the peer average (14.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5703's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5703 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the JP Metals and Mining industry average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5703's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5703 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8x
Fair PE Ratio10.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5703 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5703 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,506.00
JP¥1,662.50
+10.4%
3.3%JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,600.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥1,530.00
JP¥1,742.50
+13.9%
8.2%JP¥1,970.00JP¥1,600.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥1,628.00
JP¥1,742.50
+7.0%
8.2%JP¥1,970.00JP¥1,600.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥1,643.00
JP¥1,780.00
+8.3%
10.1%JP¥1,970.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥1,674.00
JP¥1,872.50
+11.9%
16.3%JP¥2,340.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥1,799.00
JP¥2,056.67
+14.3%
16.2%JP¥2,520.00JP¥1,750.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥1,900.00
JP¥2,040.00
+7.4%
17.1%JP¥2,520.00JP¥1,700.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥1,856.00
JP¥1,855.00
-0.05%
16.4%JP¥2,320.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥1,787.00
JP¥1,855.00
+3.8%
16.4%JP¥2,320.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥1,757.00
JP¥1,792.50
+2.0%
17.7%JP¥2,320.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥1,749.00
JP¥1,792.50
+2.5%
17.7%JP¥2,320.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥1,753.00
JP¥1,730.00
-1.3%
17.6%JP¥2,220.00JP¥1,450.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥1,702.00
JP¥1,717.50
+0.9%
17.7%JP¥2,220.00JP¥1,450.00n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥1,622.00
JP¥1,695.00
+4.5%
15.8%JP¥2,130.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,530.004
Oct ’24JP¥1,683.00
JP¥1,695.00
+0.7%
15.8%JP¥2,130.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,628.004
Sep ’24JP¥1,569.00
JP¥1,495.00
-4.7%
1.9%JP¥1,530.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,643.004
Aug ’24JP¥1,581.00
JP¥1,495.00
-5.4%
1.9%JP¥1,530.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,674.004
Jul ’24JP¥1,448.00
JP¥1,545.00
+6.7%
6.1%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,799.004
Jun ’24JP¥1,329.00
JP¥1,532.50
+15.3%
7.0%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,900.004
May ’24JP¥1,421.00
JP¥1,532.50
+7.8%
7.0%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,856.004
Apr ’24JP¥1,462.00
JP¥1,532.50
+4.8%
7.0%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,787.004
Mar ’24JP¥1,497.00
JP¥1,557.50
+4.0%
7.0%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,757.004
Feb ’24JP¥1,467.00
JP¥1,625.00
+10.8%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,749.004
Jan ’24JP¥1,513.00
JP¥1,625.00
+7.4%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,753.004
Dec ’23JP¥1,551.00
JP¥1,625.00
+4.8%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,702.004
Nov ’23JP¥1,463.00
JP¥1,625.00
+11.1%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,622.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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