Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Tokyo Tekko (TSE:5445) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Tokyo Tekko Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:5445) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:5445 Earnings and Revenue History November 21st 2025
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Zooming In On Tokyo Tekko's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Tokyo Tekko has an accrual ratio of 0.24 for the year to September 2025. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of JP¥10.3b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through JP¥2.0b in the last year. We saw that FCF was JP¥9.0b a year ago though, so Tokyo Tekko has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tokyo Tekko.

Our Take On Tokyo Tekko's Profit Performance

Tokyo Tekko didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Tokyo Tekko's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 9.7% EPS growth in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Tokyo Tekko (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Tokyo Tekko's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tokyo Tekko might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.