The board of Tokyo Tekko Co., Ltd. (TSE:5445) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 2nd of December, with investors receiving ¥100.00 per share. This means the annual payment is 5.4% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Tokyo Tekko's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Tokyo Tekko was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 119% of cash flows. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 24.2% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 29%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for Tokyo Tekko
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥50.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥300.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Tokyo Tekko has been growing its earnings per share at 24% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.
Our Thoughts On Tokyo Tekko's Dividend
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Tokyo Tekko that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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About TSE:5445
Tokyo Tekko
Engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products for the construction industry in Japan.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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