Fujimi Valuation

Is 5384 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5384 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5384 (¥2339) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4695.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5384 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5384?

Key metric: As 5384 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5384. This is calculated by dividing 5384's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5384's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.2x
EarningsJP¥7.49b
Market CapJP¥178.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5384's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5384 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.7x
4046 Osaka Soda
22.3x21.8%JP¥192.3b
4043 Tokuyama
8.2x14.0%JP¥189.4b
4966 C.UyemuraLtd
13.4x4.0%JP¥187.7b
4272 Nippon Kayaku
50.7x38.6%JP¥201.0b
5384 Fujimi
23.2x14.8%JP¥178.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5384 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5384's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$31.33m
No more companies available in this PE range
5384 23.2xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5384 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5384's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5384 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.2x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5384 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5384 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,339.00
JP¥3,222.22
+37.8%
15.2%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,550.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥2,318.00
JP¥3,270.00
+41.1%
13.6%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,550.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥2,395.00
JP¥3,270.00
+36.5%
13.6%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,550.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥2,487.00
JP¥3,431.11
+38.0%
11.0%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,030.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥3,130.00
JP¥3,465.56
+10.7%
11.1%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,000.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥3,020.00
JP¥3,521.11
+16.6%
13.0%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,000.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥2,963.00
JP¥3,588.75
+21.1%
12.8%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,000.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥3,445.00
JP¥3,751.25
+8.9%
8.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,400.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥3,415.00
JP¥3,776.25
+10.6%
10.1%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,400.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥3,805.00
JP¥3,299.13
-13.3%
14.0%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,233.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥2,998.00
JP¥3,027.57
+1.0%
17.0%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,233.00n/a7
Jan ’25JP¥3,135.00
JP¥3,015.50
-3.8%
18.6%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,233.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥2,919.00
JP¥3,127.17
+7.1%
20.1%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,233.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥3,000.00
JP¥3,188.33
+6.3%
19.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,233.00JP¥2,318.006
Oct ’24JP¥3,005.00
JP¥3,255.00
+8.3%
20.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,233.00JP¥2,395.006
Sep ’24JP¥3,340.00
JP¥3,105.00
-7.0%
21.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,233.00JP¥2,487.006
Aug ’24JP¥3,510.00
JP¥2,875.00
-18.1%
19.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,233.33JP¥3,130.006
Jul ’24JP¥3,535.00
JP¥2,825.00
-20.1%
16.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,233.33JP¥3,020.006
Jun ’24JP¥3,010.00
JP¥2,736.11
-9.1%
11.3%JP¥3,166.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥2,963.006
May ’24JP¥2,330.00
JP¥2,532.22
+8.7%
8.0%JP¥2,766.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥3,445.006
Apr ’24JP¥2,433.33
JP¥2,515.56
+3.4%
7.7%JP¥2,766.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥3,415.006
Mar ’24JP¥2,203.33
JP¥2,515.56
+14.2%
7.7%JP¥2,766.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥3,805.006
Feb ’24JP¥2,206.67
JP¥2,554.44
+15.8%
7.6%JP¥2,833.33JP¥2,233.33JP¥2,998.006
Jan ’24JP¥2,083.33
JP¥2,625.33
+26.0%
5.4%JP¥2,833.33JP¥2,433.33JP¥3,135.005
Dec ’23JP¥2,346.67
JP¥2,654.44
+13.1%
9.4%JP¥3,166.67JP¥2,433.33JP¥2,919.006
Nov ’23JP¥2,080.00
JP¥2,693.33
+29.5%
8.5%JP¥3,166.67JP¥2,466.67JP¥3,000.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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