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Cemedine Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 4999 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

4999 (¥1012) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥1225.58)

Is 4999 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4999 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4999 (¥1012) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1225.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4999 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4999?

Key metric: As 4999 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4999. This is calculated by dividing 4999's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4999's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	10.4x
Earnings	JP¥1.48b
Market Cap	JP¥15.32b

4999 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	3.4x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4999's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4999 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	11.8x
4973 Japan Pure ChemicalLtd	16.8x	17.1%	JP¥19.6b
4620 Fujikura Kasei	11.2x	n/a	JP¥15.9b
4463 Nicca ChemicalLtd	7.1x	n/a	JP¥17.9b
4094 Nihon Kagaku Sangyo	12x	n/a	JP¥26.5b
4999 Cemedine	10.4x	n/a	JP¥15.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4999 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (10x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4999's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings	0.6x	n/a	US$31.43m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4999 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (9.8x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4999's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4999 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	10.4x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4999's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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