MEC Company Ltd.

TSE:4971 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥61.6b

MEC Valuation

Is 4971 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4971 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4971 (¥3380) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5908.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4971 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4971?

Key metric: As 4971 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4971. This is calculated by dividing 4971's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4971's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.6x
EarningsJP¥3.23b
Market CapJP¥61.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4971's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4971 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
4008 Sumitomo Seika Chemicals Company
9.3xn/aJP¥60.9b
4365 Matsumoto Yushi-SeiyakuLtd
8.1xn/aJP¥53.0b
4362 Nippon Fine Chemical
14.6x7.9%JP¥51.5b
4975 JCU
14.2x8.7%JP¥96.4b
4971 MEC
19.6x14.1%JP¥61.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4971 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4971's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.6xn/aUS$30.07m
No more companies available in this PE range
4971 19.6xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4971 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4971's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4971 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4971 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4971 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,380.00
JP¥4,675.00
+38.3%
13.7%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,000.00n/a4
Dec ’25JP¥3,350.00
JP¥4,700.00
+40.3%
14.0%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,000.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥3,530.00
JP¥4,775.00
+35.3%
12.3%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,100.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥3,715.00
JP¥4,675.00
+25.8%
15.3%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,700.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥3,955.00
JP¥4,500.00
+13.8%
16.6%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,700.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥3,830.00
JP¥4,033.33
+5.3%
1.2%JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,000.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥4,445.00
JP¥4,033.33
-9.3%
1.2%JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,000.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥4,365.00
JP¥4,033.33
-7.6%
1.2%JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,000.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥4,025.00
JP¥4,100.00
+1.9%
9.1%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,700.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥3,930.00
JP¥4,100.00
+4.3%
9.1%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,700.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥4,580.00
JP¥4,266.67
-6.8%
9.4%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,700.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥4,485.00
JP¥4,266.67
-4.9%
9.4%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,700.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥4,395.00
JP¥4,100.00
-6.7%
9.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,700.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥4,020.00
JP¥4,466.67
+11.1%
13.7%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,350.003
Nov ’24JP¥3,420.00
JP¥4,166.67
+21.8%
16.7%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,530.003
Oct ’24JP¥3,700.00
JP¥3,975.00
+7.4%
17.3%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,715.004
Sep ’24JP¥3,830.00
JP¥3,766.67
-1.7%
17.7%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,955.003
Aug ’24JP¥3,495.00
JP¥3,575.00
+2.3%
18.6%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,830.004
Jul ’24JP¥3,525.00
JP¥3,200.00
-9.2%
5.1%JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,445.003
Jun ’24JP¥3,185.00
JP¥3,200.00
+0.5%
5.1%JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,365.003
May ’24JP¥2,554.00
JP¥3,200.00
+25.3%
5.1%JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,025.003
Apr ’24JP¥2,561.00
JP¥3,200.00
+25.0%
5.1%JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,930.003
Mar ’24JP¥2,360.00
JP¥3,333.33
+41.2%
10.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,580.003
Feb ’24JP¥2,496.00
JP¥3,933.33
+57.6%
10.7%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,485.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,078.00
JP¥3,933.33
+89.3%
10.7%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,395.003
Dec ’23JP¥2,636.00
JP¥4,033.33
+53.0%
10.2%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,020.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 10:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

MEC Company Ltd. is covered by 10 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takeshi FukuyamaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
null nullDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Koichi HariyaIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.