Toyo GoseiLtd Valuation
Is 4970 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4970 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4970 (¥8210) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥416.11)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4970 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4970?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4970's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | JP¥65.64b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Book Ratio vs Peers
How does 4970's PB Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PB | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1x | ||
4215 C.I.TAKIRON | 0.7x | n/a | JP¥63.1b |
7942 JSP | 0.6x | 4.7% | JP¥57.2b |
7995 Valqua | 1.7x | 23.7% | JP¥77.4b |
7917 Fujimori Kogyo | 0.9x | 35.9% | JP¥79.2b |
4970 Toyo GoseiLtd | n/a | 10.0% | JP¥65.6b |
Price-To-Book vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate 4970's Price-To-Book Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4970's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?
Price-To-Book vs Industry: Insufficient data to calculate 4970's Price-To-Book Ratio vs. industry for valuation analysis.
Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4970's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PB Ratio | n/a |
| Fair PB Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4970's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | JP¥8,210.00 | JP¥10,682.86 +30.1% | 9.4% | JP¥12,500.00 | JP¥8,800.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Apr ’25 | JP¥9,250.00 | JP¥10,882.86 +17.7% | 10.1% | JP¥12,500.00 | JP¥8,800.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Mar ’25 | JP¥10,060.00 | JP¥10,540.00 +4.8% | 10.2% | JP¥12,500.00 | JP¥8,800.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Feb ’25 | JP¥8,660.00 | JP¥9,413.33 +8.7% | 8.1% | JP¥10,680.00 | JP¥8,500.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jan ’25 | JP¥8,340.00 | JP¥9,256.00 +11.0% | 10.1% | JP¥10,680.00 | JP¥8,200.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | JP¥7,370.00 | JP¥8,771.67 +19.0% | 14.3% | JP¥10,430.00 | JP¥6,600.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Nov ’24 | JP¥6,230.00 | JP¥8,871.67 +42.4% | 15.2% | JP¥10,500.00 | JP¥6,600.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Oct ’24 | JP¥6,740.00 | JP¥9,171.67 +36.1% | 14.8% | JP¥10,500.00 | JP¥6,600.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Sep ’24 | JP¥7,350.00 | JP¥9,438.33 +28.4% | 18.1% | JP¥12,100.00 | JP¥6,600.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’24 | JP¥8,570.00 | JP¥9,588.33 +11.9% | 16.7% | JP¥12,100.00 | JP¥6,800.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’24 | JP¥10,310.00 | JP¥9,588.33 -7.0% | 16.7% | JP¥12,100.00 | JP¥6,800.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’24 | JP¥8,660.00 | JP¥9,505.00 +9.8% | 17.1% | JP¥12,100.00 | JP¥6,800.00 | n/a | 6 |
| May ’24 | JP¥7,630.00 | JP¥9,555.00 +25.2% | 24.7% | JP¥14,200.00 | JP¥6,800.00 | JP¥8,270.00 | 6 |
| Apr ’24 | JP¥9,000.00 | JP¥9,930.00 +10.3% | 22.9% | JP¥14,200.00 | JP¥6,800.00 | JP¥9,250.00 | 6 |
| Mar ’24 | JP¥9,370.00 | JP¥9,890.00 +5.5% | 23.8% | JP¥14,200.00 | JP¥7,300.00 | JP¥10,060.00 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | JP¥8,780.00 | JP¥10,170.00 +15.8% | 25.4% | JP¥15,000.00 | JP¥7,300.00 | JP¥8,660.00 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | JP¥7,220.00 | JP¥9,751.67 +35.1% | 25.7% | JP¥15,000.00 | JP¥7,300.00 | JP¥8,340.00 | 6 |
| Dec ’23 | JP¥9,660.00 | JP¥9,751.67 +0.9% | 25.7% | JP¥15,000.00 | JP¥7,300.00 | JP¥7,370.00 | 6 |
| Nov ’23 | JP¥7,500.00 | JP¥9,868.33 +31.6% | 33.2% | JP¥17,000.00 | JP¥7,300.00 | JP¥6,230.00 | 6 |
| Oct ’23 | JP¥6,350.00 | JP¥10,051.67 +58.3% | 31.6% | JP¥17,000.00 | JP¥7,300.00 | JP¥6,740.00 | 6 |
| Sep ’23 | JP¥8,110.00 | JP¥10,051.67 +23.9% | 31.6% | JP¥17,000.00 | JP¥7,300.00 | JP¥7,350.00 | 6 |
| Aug ’23 | JP¥8,380.00 | JP¥10,442.00 +24.6% | 32.5% | JP¥17,000.00 | JP¥7,300.00 | JP¥8,570.00 | 5 |
| Jul ’23 | JP¥7,700.00 | JP¥12,727.50 +65.3% | 25.4% | JP¥17,000.00 | JP¥9,210.00 | JP¥10,310.00 | 4 |
| Jun ’23 | JP¥9,570.00 | JP¥13,866.67 +44.9% | 21.3% | JP¥17,000.00 | JP¥9,900.00 | JP¥8,660.00 | 3 |
| May ’23 | JP¥9,770.00 | JP¥13,866.67 +41.9% | 21.3% | JP¥17,000.00 | JP¥9,900.00 | JP¥7,630.00 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.