Toyo Gosei Co.,Ltd.

TSE:4970 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥47.9b

Toyo GoseiLtd Valuation

Is 4970 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4970 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4970 (¥6030) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥326.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4970 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4970?

Key metric: As 4970 is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for 4970. This is calculated by dividing 4970's market cap by their current book value.
What is 4970's PB Ratio?
PB Ration/a
BookJP¥5.87b
Market CapJP¥47.86b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does 4970's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for 4970 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
7942 JSP
0.5x7.6%JP¥54.4b
4116 Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg
0.4xn/aJP¥48.4b
7995 Valqua
1.2x17.1%JP¥58.0b
4220 Riken Technos
0.9x-0.4%JP¥56.8b
4970 Toyo GoseiLtd
n/a10.8%JP¥47.9b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate 4970's Price-To-Book Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does 4970's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4970 is unprofitableIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies32PB00.61.21.82.43+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: Insufficient data to calculate 4970's Price-To-Book Ratio vs. industry for valuation analysis.

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4970's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4970 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ration/a
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4970's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4970 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥6,030.00
JP¥11,278.57
+87.0%
11.1%JP¥13,450.00JP¥10,200.00n/a7
Nov ’25JP¥6,860.00
JP¥11,278.57
+64.4%
11.1%JP¥13,450.00JP¥10,200.00n/a7
Oct ’25JP¥8,120.00
JP¥11,707.14
+44.2%
10.0%JP¥13,450.00JP¥10,400.00n/a7
Sep ’25JP¥8,520.00
JP¥11,707.14
+37.4%
10.0%JP¥13,450.00JP¥10,400.00n/a7
Aug ’25JP¥8,860.00
JP¥11,735.71
+32.5%
12.7%JP¥13,500.00JP¥9,200.00n/a7
Jul ’25JP¥10,010.00
JP¥11,054.29
+10.4%
11.4%JP¥13,500.00JP¥9,200.00n/a7
Jun ’25JP¥9,170.00
JP¥11,054.29
+20.5%
11.4%JP¥13,500.00JP¥9,200.00n/a7
May ’25JP¥8,270.00
JP¥10,682.86
+29.2%
9.4%JP¥12,500.00JP¥8,800.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥9,250.00
JP¥10,882.86
+17.7%
10.1%JP¥12,500.00JP¥8,800.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥10,060.00
JP¥10,540.00
+4.8%
10.2%JP¥12,500.00JP¥8,800.00n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥8,660.00
JP¥9,413.33
+8.7%
8.1%JP¥10,680.00JP¥8,500.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥8,340.00
JP¥9,256.00
+11.0%
10.1%JP¥10,680.00JP¥8,200.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥7,370.00
JP¥8,771.67
+19.0%
14.3%JP¥10,430.00JP¥6,600.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥6,230.00
JP¥8,871.67
+42.4%
15.2%JP¥10,500.00JP¥6,600.00JP¥6,860.006
Oct ’24JP¥6,740.00
JP¥9,171.67
+36.1%
14.8%JP¥10,500.00JP¥6,600.00JP¥8,120.006
Sep ’24JP¥7,350.00
JP¥9,438.33
+28.4%
18.1%JP¥12,100.00JP¥6,600.00JP¥8,520.006
Aug ’24JP¥8,570.00
JP¥9,588.33
+11.9%
16.7%JP¥12,100.00JP¥6,800.00JP¥8,860.006
Jul ’24JP¥10,310.00
JP¥9,588.33
-7.0%
16.7%JP¥12,100.00JP¥6,800.00JP¥10,010.006
Jun ’24JP¥8,660.00
JP¥9,505.00
+9.8%
17.1%JP¥12,100.00JP¥6,800.00JP¥9,170.006
May ’24JP¥7,630.00
JP¥9,555.00
+25.2%
24.7%JP¥14,200.00JP¥6,800.00JP¥8,270.006
Apr ’24JP¥9,000.00
JP¥9,930.00
+10.3%
22.9%JP¥14,200.00JP¥6,800.00JP¥9,250.006
Mar ’24JP¥9,370.00
JP¥9,890.00
+5.5%
23.8%JP¥14,200.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥10,060.005
Feb ’24JP¥8,780.00
JP¥10,170.00
+15.8%
25.4%JP¥15,000.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥8,660.005
Jan ’24JP¥7,220.00
JP¥9,751.67
+35.1%
25.7%JP¥15,000.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥8,340.006
Dec ’23JP¥9,660.00
JP¥9,751.67
+0.9%
25.7%JP¥15,000.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥7,370.006
Nov ’23JP¥7,500.00
JP¥9,868.33
+31.6%
33.2%JP¥17,000.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥6,230.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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