Sanyo Chemical Industries, Ltd.

TSE:4471 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥86.2b

Sanyo Chemical Industries Valuation

Is 4471 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4471 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4471 (¥3915) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥6342.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4471 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4471?

Key metric: As 4471 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4471. This is calculated by dividing 4471's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4471's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesJP¥157.26b
Market CapJP¥86.24b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4471's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4471 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
3.7x6.3%JP¥94.6b
3.6x9.4%JP¥63.3b
4633 Sakata INX
0.3x2.1%JP¥76.2b
4914 Takasago International
0.5xn/aJP¥105.8b
4471 Sanyo Chemical Industries
0.5x-2.8%JP¥86.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4471 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4471's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7886 Yamato Mobility & Mfg.Ltd
0.08xn/aUS$8.37m
No more companies available in this PS range
4471 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies23PS00.40.81.21.62+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4471 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4471's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4471 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4471 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4471 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,915.00
JP¥4,500.00
+14.9%
11.1%JP¥5,000.00JP¥4,000.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥4,115.00
JP¥4,600.00
+11.8%
8.7%JP¥5,000.00JP¥4,200.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥4,175.00
JP¥4,600.00
+10.2%
8.7%JP¥5,000.00JP¥4,200.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥4,020.00
JP¥4,600.00
+14.4%
8.7%JP¥5,000.00JP¥4,200.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥4,050.00
JP¥4,750.00
+17.3%
5.3%JP¥5,000.00JP¥4,500.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥4,020.00
JP¥4,800.00
+19.4%
6.3%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,500.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥4,010.00
JP¥4,900.00
+22.2%
4.1%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,700.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥4,115.00
JP¥4,900.00
+19.1%
4.1%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,700.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥4,280.00
JP¥4,900.00
+14.5%
4.1%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,700.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥4,290.00
JP¥4,900.00
+14.2%
4.1%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,700.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥4,290.00
JP¥4,700.00
+9.6%
8.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,300.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥4,235.00
JP¥4,700.00
+11.0%
8.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,300.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥4,260.00
JP¥4,700.00
+10.3%
8.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,300.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥4,035.00
JP¥4,700.00
+16.5%
8.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,115.002
Oct ’24JP¥4,095.00
JP¥4,700.00
+14.8%
8.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,175.002
Sep ’24JP¥4,145.00
JP¥4,700.00
+13.4%
8.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,020.002
Aug ’24JP¥4,340.00
JP¥4,950.00
+14.1%
3.0%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,800.00JP¥4,050.002
Jul ’24JP¥4,240.00
JP¥4,950.00
+16.7%
3.0%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,800.00JP¥4,020.002
Dec ’23JP¥4,370.00
JP¥6,150.00
+40.7%
15.4%JP¥7,100.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,260.002
Nov ’23JP¥4,205.00
JP¥6,150.00
+46.3%
15.4%JP¥7,100.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,035.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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