Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Carlit Co., Ltd. (TSE:4275) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%

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TSE:4275

Carlit Co., Ltd. (TSE:4275) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 40%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, Carlit may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Carlit as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Carlit

TSE:4275 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 16th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Carlit.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Carlit's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.1% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 43% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% per annum as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 9.5% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Carlit is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Carlit's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Carlit currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Carlit that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Carlit's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.