Stock Analysis
The Market Lifts Okura Industrial Co., Ltd. (TSE:4221) Shares 26% But It Can Do More
The Okura Industrial Co., Ltd. (TSE:4221) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 22% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may still consider Okura Industrial as an attractive investment with its 10x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Okura Industrial as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Okura Industrial
How Is Okura Industrial's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Okura Industrial's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 32% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 9.1% per annum during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.3% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Okura Industrial is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Okura Industrial's P/E
Despite Okura Industrial's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Okura Industrial currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Okura Industrial, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4221
Okura Industrial
Manufactures and sells polyethylene and polypropylene products in Japan.