Stock Analysis

We Think Osaka Soda (TSE:4046) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

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TSE:4046

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Osaka Soda Co., Ltd. (TSE:4046) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Osaka Soda

How Much Debt Does Osaka Soda Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Osaka Soda had JP¥7.66b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has JP¥43.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥35.8b net cash.

TSE:4046 Debt to Equity History January 29th 2025

A Look At Osaka Soda's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Osaka Soda had liabilities of JP¥32.9b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥7.40b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥43.5b and JP¥31.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has JP¥34.5b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that Osaka Soda has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Osaka Soda has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

And we also note warmly that Osaka Soda grew its EBIT by 17% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Osaka Soda's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Osaka Soda has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Osaka Soda's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Osaka Soda has JP¥35.8b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 17% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Osaka Soda's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Osaka Soda that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.