Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited

TSE:4005 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥964.4b

Sumitomo Chemical Company Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Sumitomo Chemical Company is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.5% and 2.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.1% in 3 years.

Key information

12.5%

Earnings growth rate

12.45%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth14.5%
Revenue growth rate2.7%
Future return on equity8.08%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • May 16

Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

The investors in Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited 's ( TSE:4005 ) will be rubbing their hands together with glee...
Analysis Article • Nov 06

Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited Just Beat EPS By 77%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited ( TSE:4005 ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 04

4005: Share Exchange Plans And Higher Multiple Assumptions Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company has changed from ¥806.78 to ¥822.37 as analysts adjusted their assumptions regarding discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for May 13, 2026, to consider implementing a share exchange, according to the company’s key developments disclosure.
Narrative Update • May 19

4005: Planned Equity Issuance And Share Exchange Will Limit Future Upside

Analysts have kept their ¥460.0 price target on Sumitomo Chemical Company unchanged, reflecting updated assumptions around a lower discount rate, slightly positive revenue growth of about 0.09%, a small improvement in profit margin to around 3.52%, and a modestly higher future P/E of roughly 11.63x. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for May 13, 2026, with an agenda to consider implementing a share exchange (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • May 16

Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

The investors in Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited 's ( TSE:4005 ) will be rubbing their hands together with glee...
Narrative Update • Apr 28

4005: Earnings Reset And Recycling Push Will Support Stronger Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company from ¥529.18 to ¥589.70, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and an expected future P/E of 14.13x. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 2, 2026, to consider and approve filing of a shelf registration statement for issuance of new shares (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 14

4005: Equity Issuance Plans And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Restrain Upside

Analysts have kept their ¥460 price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company unchanged, linking this to updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, a smaller projected revenue decline, a higher expected profit margin, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026, with an agenda to issue new shares and conduct a secondary offering of shares (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 30

4005: Recycling Rollout And Higher Dividend Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company to ¥806.78 from ¥758.97, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 2, 2026, to consider filing a shelf registration statement for the issuance of new shares.
Narrative Update • Mar 16

4005: Recycling Progress And Cautious Earnings Outlook Will Support Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company from ¥424 to ¥460, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the drivers of this change. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 2, 2026, with an agenda that includes considering a shelf registration filing for potential issuance of new shares.
Narrative Update • Mar 02

4005: Recycling Breakthrough And Dividend Outlook Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company to ¥758.97 from ¥724.72, reflecting updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly softer profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 2, 2026, to consider and approve filing a shelf registration statement for the issuance of new shares (Board Meeting).
Narrative Update • Feb 16

4005: Recycling Progress And Modest Earnings Outlook Will Sustain Downside Risk

Analysts have maintained their ¥424 price target for Sumitomo Chemical, citing slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key factors behind this unchanged view. What's in the News Lummus Technology and Sumitomo Chemical announced the commercial availability of a Polymethyl Methacrylate Chemical Recycling technology that converts end-of-life PMMA into high purity MMA monomer, with validation reported at Sumitomo Chemical's pilot plant in Japan (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Feb 10

Concerns Surrounding Sumitomo Chemical Company's (TSE:4005) Performance

Following the solid earnings report from Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited ( TSE:4005 ), the market responded by...
Narrative Update • Feb 02

4005: Joint Venture And Earnings Outlook Will Support A More Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Sumitomo Chemical Company from ¥320 to ¥424, citing updated assumptions for a lower discount rate, a smaller projected revenue decline, slightly higher profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Samsung Electro Mechanics, Sumitomo Chemical Group and Dongwoo Fine Chem signed an MOU to form a joint venture focused on manufacturing Glass Core, a key material for next generation semiconductor package substrates.
Analysis Article • Jan 29

There's Reason For Concern Over Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited's (TSE:4005) Price

It's not a stretch to say that Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited's ( TSE:4005 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of...
Narrative Update • Jan 19

4005: Glass Core JV And Guidance Reset Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sumitomo Chemical Company from ¥533.27 to ¥529.18 as they reset expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and the appropriate future P/E multiple. What's in the News Samsung Electro-Mechanics and Sumitomo Chemical Group signed an MOU to form a joint venture to manufacture Glass Core materials for next generation semiconductor package substrates, with Samsung Electro-Mechanics as the majority investor and Sumitomo Chemical Group as a minority shareholder (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Jan 07

Sumitomo Chemical Company (TSE:4005) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Narrative Update • Jan 05

4005: Glass Core Joint Venture Is Expected To Drive Future Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Sumitomo Chemical Company, citing slightly stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins that support a fair value estimate of approximately ¥724.72 per share. What's in the News Samsung Electro Mechanics and Sumitomo Chemical Group signed an MOU to form a joint venture to manufacture Glass Core materials for next generation semiconductor package substrates, aiming to address AI and HPC packaging limits (strategic alliance).
Narrative Update • Dec 20

4005: Joint Venture Semiconductor Materials Are Expected To Drive Future Upside

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company to 724.72 yen from 747.93 yen, citing slightly lower profit margin expectations that more than offset a marginally improved revenue growth outlook and a higher anticipated future P E multiple. What's in the News Samsung Electro-Mechanics signed an MOU with Sumitomo Chemical Group and Dongwoo Fine-Chem to form a joint venture to manufacture next generation Glass Core materials for advanced semiconductor package substrates, with Samsung as majority investor and Sumitomo as a minority shareholder (company announcement).
Narrative Update • Dec 06

4005: Glass Core Joint Venture Will Support Future Earnings Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Sumitomo Chemical Company to JPY 533.27, citing a slightly higher discount rate and marginally improved long term growth and profitability assumptions. What's in the News Samsung Electro-Mechanics, Sumitomo Chemical Group, and Dongwoo Fine-Chem signed an MOU to form a joint venture to manufacture Glass Core materials for next generation semiconductor package substrates, with Samsung Electro-Mechanics as majority investor and headquarters at Dongwoo Fine-Chem's Pyeongtaek site (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Nov 21

4005: Profit Margin Gains And New Venture Will Drive Share Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company to ¥533.27 from ¥526.91. They cite improved profit margin projections and a slightly lower discount rate as factors supporting their updated outlook.
Narrative Update • Nov 07

4005: Improved Profit Margins And New Joint Venture Will Drive Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company from ¥522 to approximately ¥527, citing improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins as key factors for the upward revision. What's in the News Samsung Electro-Mechanics and Sumitomo Chemical have signed a memorandum of understanding to establish a joint venture for manufacturing 'Glass Core,' an advanced material for next-generation semiconductor package substrates (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Nov 06

Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited Just Beat EPS By 77%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited ( TSE:4005 ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
Narrative Update • Oct 24

Earnings Outlook And Discount Rate Adjustments Will Shape Market Direction

Analysts have raised their price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company from ¥512.70 to ¥522.00. They cite updated profit margin estimates and a slightly higher discount rate as key factors in their reassessment.
Analysis Article • Oct 12

Getting In Cheap On Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited (TSE:4005) Is Unlikely

There wouldn't be many who think Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited's ( TSE:4005 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of...
Narrative Update • Oct 10

Global Agriculture And Advanced Materials Will Define Future Markets

Analysts have raised their price target for Sumitomo Chemical Company from ¥496.7 to ¥512.7. They cite improved revenue growth projections and slightly higher profit margin expectations as key factors supporting the upward revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased slightly from ¥496.7 to ¥512.7 Discount Rate: declined modestly from 8.65% to 8.57% Revenue Growth: shifted from -0.08% to 0.03%, which indicates a move from projected contraction to mild expansion Net Profit Margin: improved marginally from 3.44% to 3.54% Future P/E: decreased slightly from 12.06x to 12.02x
Narrative Update • Sep 26

Global Agriculture And Advanced Materials Will Define Future Markets

Despite a slight downgrade in revenue growth forecasts, stable profit margins have supported a modest increase in Sumitomo Chemical Company's consensus analyst price target from ¥485 to ¥497. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Sumitomo Chemical Company The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from ¥485 to ¥497.
Narrative Update • Sep 11

Global Agriculture And Advanced Materials Will Define Future Markets

The slight increase in Sumitomo Chemical’s consensus price target to ¥485 reflects a modest rise in its future P/E ratio, signaling improved forward earnings expectations. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Sumitomo Chemical Company The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from ¥466 to ¥485.
Narrative Update • Aug 27

Global Agriculture And Advanced Materials Will Define Future Markets

Despite a reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Sumitomo Chemical Company's fair value has increased as reflected by a higher price target (from ¥437 to ¥462) and an elevated forward P/E, indicating improved market sentiment or expectations for profitability. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Sumitomo Chemical Company The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from ¥437 to ¥462.
Analysis Article • Jul 24

Is Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited (TSE:4005) Trading At A 48% Discount?

Key Insights The projected fair value for Sumitomo Chemical Company is JP¥727 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article • Jun 27

Sumitomo Chemical Company's (TSE:4005) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited's ( TSE:4005 ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its...
Analysis Article • Jun 12

What Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited's (TSE:4005) P/S Is Not Telling You

There wouldn't be many who think Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited's ( TSE:4005 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of...
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New Narrative • Dec 19

V-Shaped Recovery Driven By Critical Shifts Into IT-Related Chemicals And Pharmaceuticals Boosts Profits

Business portfolio upgrade and structural reforms aim to boost revenue and net margins in high-performing segments while reducing reliance on loss-making operations.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:4005 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/20292,584,633101,740112,576217,2426
3/31/20282,497,21489,355112,528227,8969
3/31/20272,423,18084,582110,230229,23010
3/31/20262,328,51560,947113,193234,759N/A
12/31/20252,407,77597,37392,930203,896N/A
9/30/20252,460,28084,817110,516227,146N/A
6/30/20252,520,2779,685137,034269,283N/A
3/31/20252,606,28138,591102,562233,027N/A
12/31/20242,544,857-173,47981,447224,387N/A
9/30/20242,501,413-242,019-21,997127,541N/A
6/30/20242,495,894-254,302-76,41868,343N/A
3/31/20242,446,893-311,838-204,190-51,317N/A
12/31/20232,445,107-163,101-276,568-123,673N/A
9/30/20232,553,595-150,422-240,507-87,207N/A
6/30/20232,684,292-96,158-213,207-62,928N/A
3/31/20232,895,2836,987-31,960111,621N/A
12/31/20222,984,48988,77736,950173,026N/A
9/30/20222,968,674154,30949,426178,033N/A
6/30/20222,900,476196,46387,174209,656N/A
3/31/20222,765,321162,13064,248171,715N/A
12/31/20212,682,245157,77090,319200,057N/A
9/30/20212,565,417136,016183,667295,077N/A
6/30/20212,425,76988,461208,823323,567N/A
3/31/20212,286,97846,043253,652374,464N/A
12/31/20202,217,68115,281196,454315,826N/A
9/30/20202,165,01712880,282192,667N/A
6/30/20202,172,7739,62946,467161,240N/A
3/31/20202,225,80430,926-14,437106,012N/A
12/31/20192,255,18166,604N/A203,434N/A
9/30/20192,304,01286,215N/A222,469N/A
6/30/20192,322,848102,519N/A225,655N/A
3/31/20192,318,572117,992N/A208,143N/A
12/31/20182,283,344114,184N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20182,258,545126,728N/A228,938N/A
6/30/20182,230,938132,224N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20182,190,509133,768N/A293,250N/A
12/31/20172,185,770138,725N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20172,107,853134,774N/A225,080N/A
6/30/20172,006,242104,821N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20171,954,28385,482N/A187,446N/A
12/31/20161,913,80652,196N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20161,926,41339,789N/A210,548N/A
6/30/20162,001,73259,709N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20162,101,76481,451N/A261,172N/A
12/31/20152,231,50089,539N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20152,324,14390,500N/A379,732N/A
6/30/20152,376,40372,096N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4005's forecast earnings growth (12.5% per year) is above the savings rate (0.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 4005's earnings (12.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4005's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4005's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4005's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4005's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.1%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/08 15:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/08 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mikiya YamadaBarclays
Takashi EnomotoBofA Global Research
Atsushi IkedaCitigroup Inc