Mani Valuation

Is 7730 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7730 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7730 (¥1754.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1849.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7730 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7730?

Key metric: As 7730 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7730. This is calculated by dividing 7730's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7730's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.6x
EarningsJP¥6.29b
Market CapJP¥173.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7730's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7730 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average62x
8086 Nipro
173.2x23.8%JP¥226.4b
7780 Menicon
24.4x17.7%JP¥117.9b
3593 Hogy MedicalLtd
33.9x9.5%JP¥99.5b
7979 Shofu
16.5x7.7%JP¥73.5b
7730 Mani
27.5x9.2%JP¥172.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7730 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the peer average (62x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7730's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Medical Equipment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7730 27.6xIndustry Avg. 14.3xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7730 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the JP Medical Equipment industry average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7730's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7730 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.6x
Fair PE Ratio19.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7730 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7730 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,754.50
JP¥2,224.00
+26.8%
10.6%JP¥2,520.00JP¥2,000.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥1,822.00
JP¥2,224.00
+22.1%
10.6%JP¥2,520.00JP¥2,000.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥1,827.50
JP¥2,258.00
+23.6%
12.5%JP¥2,670.00JP¥2,000.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥1,966.50
JP¥2,398.00
+21.9%
14.0%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,000.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥2,042.00
JP¥2,398.00
+17.4%
14.0%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,000.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥1,957.00
JP¥2,394.00
+22.3%
17.1%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥1,869.00
JP¥2,394.00
+28.1%
17.1%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥1,850.00
JP¥2,354.00
+27.2%
19.3%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥2,011.00
JP¥2,442.50
+21.5%
15.3%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥2,055.00
JP¥2,442.50
+18.9%
15.3%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥2,061.00
JP¥2,442.50
+18.5%
15.3%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥2,134.00
JP¥2,352.50
+10.2%
14.6%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥2,185.50
JP¥2,255.00
+3.2%
11.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥2,073.00
JP¥2,255.00
+8.8%
11.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,822.004
Oct ’24JP¥1,814.00
JP¥2,255.00
+24.3%
11.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,827.504
Sep ’24JP¥1,939.50
JP¥2,255.00
+16.3%
11.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,966.504
Aug ’24JP¥1,840.00
JP¥2,164.00
+17.6%
13.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥2,042.005
Jul ’24JP¥1,697.50
JP¥2,182.00
+28.5%
14.5%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,957.005
Jun ’24JP¥1,642.00
JP¥2,268.33
+38.1%
15.3%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,869.006
May ’24JP¥1,771.00
JP¥2,351.67
+32.8%
15.2%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,850.006
Apr ’24JP¥1,806.00
JP¥2,385.00
+32.1%
14.7%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,011.006
Mar ’24JP¥1,831.00
JP¥2,515.71
+37.4%
18.1%JP¥3,300.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,055.007
Feb ’24JP¥1,858.00
JP¥2,487.14
+33.9%
17.5%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,061.007
Jan ’24JP¥2,030.00
JP¥2,600.83
+28.1%
14.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,134.006
Dec ’23JP¥2,271.00
JP¥2,534.17
+11.6%
14.9%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,185.506
Nov ’23JP¥2,128.00
JP¥2,410.71
+13.3%
19.2%JP¥3,200.00JP¥1,670.00JP¥2,073.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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