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- TSE:7459
Investor Optimism Abounds MediPal Holdings Corporation (TSE:7459) But Growth Is Lacking
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 14x in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about MediPal Holdings Corporation's (TSE:7459) P/E ratio of 13.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, MediPal Holdings has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for MediPal Holdings
How Is MediPal Holdings' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, MediPal Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.4%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 47% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.3% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 9.5% each year, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that MediPal Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that MediPal Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for MediPal Holdings with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of MediPal Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7459
MediPal Holdings
Medipal Holdings Corporation engages in the prescription pharmaceutical wholesale business in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.
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