Japan Tobacco Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Japan Tobacco is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.7% and 4.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.2% in 3 years.
Key information
7.7%
Earnings growth rate
6.9%
EPS growth rate
| Tobacco earnings growth | 10.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.3% |
| Future return on equity | 15.2% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 14 Feb 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Japan Tobacco Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Feb 17
Japan Tobacco Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Nov 03Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Just Released Its Half-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Aug 05Results: Japan Tobacco Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
May 13Recent updates
Japan Tobacco Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Feb 17Pinning Down Japan Tobacco Inc.'s (TSE:2914) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
Jan 22Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger
Dec 14Japan Tobacco Inc.'s (TSE:2914) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 84% Above Its Share Price
Nov 19Japan Tobacco Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Nov 03Here's Why Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Oct 29Japan Tobacco Inc.'s (TSE:2914) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
Oct 13Return Trends At Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Aren't Appealing
Sep 02Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Just Released Its Half-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Aug 05Does Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Jul 25Here's Why Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Jul 11Japan Tobacco's (TSE:2914) Dividend Will Be ¥97.00
Jun 19Getting In Cheap On Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Is Unlikely
May 26Results: Japan Tobacco Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
May 13Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥97.00
May 10Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
May 09Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥97.00
Apr 25Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥97.00
Apr 11Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 3,606,935 | 603,467 | 645,491 | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,428,757 | 567,143 | 596,292 | 716,315 | 11 |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,318,021 | 536,271 | 547,946 | 634,914 | 11 |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,149,759 | 463,369 | 479,644 | 630,011 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,077,337 | 482,692 | 323,055 | 468,595 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,018,157 | 500,451 | 487,210 | 620,360 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,916,132 | 494,870 | 452,145 | 573,184 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,841,077 | 482,288 | 445,800 | 567,014 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,806,302 | 480,919 | 517,123 | 630,610 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,783,816 | 465,662 | 470,759 | 580,475 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,741,605 | 463,290 | 391,665 | 500,479 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,657,832 | 442,716 | 384,391 | 483,799 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,567,311 | 403,484 | 418,474 | 513,599 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,447,127 | 377,363 | 437,562 | 534,221 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,358,977 | 348,814 | 525,115 | 625,538 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,324,838 | 338,490 | 495,991 | 598,909 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,266,539 | 391,118 | 444,917 | 550,607 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,206,882 | 362,948 | 461,871 | 568,071 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,120,307 | 337,666 | 432,684 | 534,130 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,092,561 | 310,253 | 411,213 | 519,833 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,133,975 | 289,990 | 563,632 | 680,799 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,147,295 | 294,234 | 322,730 | 445,106 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,189,824 | 313,723 | 286,198 | 417,299 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,175,626 | 348,190 | 407,040 | 540,410 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,173,891 | 369,139 | 147,753 | 291,541 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,199,240 | 396,035 | 304,513 | 454,169 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,206,334 | 402,506 | 343,935 | 502,356 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,215,962 | 385,677 | 302,579 | 461,389 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,222,573 | 391,397 | N/A | 512,378 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,169,594 | 382,867 | N/A | 607,885 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,148,565 | 390,929 | N/A | 569,933 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,139,653 | 392,409 | N/A | 419,212 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,117,649 | 405,385 | N/A | 631,285 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,111,738 | 400,236 | N/A | 523,701 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,115,337 | 381,741 | N/A | 478,328 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,143,287 | 421,695 | N/A | 376,549 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,182,953 | 431,398 | N/A | 348,092 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,234,542 | 433,787 | N/A | 318,620 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,232,079 | 439,426 | N/A | 436,459 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,252,884 | 398,176 | N/A | 468,432 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 2,692,993 | 485,343 | N/A | 724,928 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 2,415,175 | 410,180 | N/A | 577,661 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 2,408,352 | 436,064 | N/A | 365,518 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 2,399,841 | 427,987 | N/A | 396,496 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2914's forecast earnings growth (7.7% per year) is above the savings rate (0.4%).
Earnings vs Market: 2914's earnings (7.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 2914's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 2914's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (4.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 2914's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 2914's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/02/21 14:26 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/02/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Japan Tobacco Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gaurav Jain | Barclays |
| Takayuki Hayano | Barclays |
| Jonathan Leinster | Berenberg |