Japan Tobacco Inc.

TSE:2914 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥6.9t

Japan Tobacco Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Japan Tobacco is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.6% and 4.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.9% in 3 years.

Key information

6.6%

Earnings growth rate

7.3%

EPS growth rate

Tobacco earnings growth10.0%
Revenue growth rate4.7%
Future return on equity14.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated10 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Japan Tobacco Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Nov 03
Japan Tobacco Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Just Released Its Half-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Aug 05
Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Just Released Its Half-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Results: Japan Tobacco Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

May 13
Results: Japan Tobacco Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Recent updates

Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Dec 14
Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Japan Tobacco Inc.'s (TSE:2914) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 84% Above Its Share Price

Nov 19
Japan Tobacco Inc.'s (TSE:2914) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 84% Above Its Share Price

Japan Tobacco Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Nov 03
Japan Tobacco Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Here's Why Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Oct 29
Here's Why Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Japan Tobacco Inc.'s (TSE:2914) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Oct 13
Japan Tobacco Inc.'s (TSE:2914) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Return Trends At Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Aren't Appealing

Sep 02
Return Trends At Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Aren't Appealing

Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Just Released Its Half-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Aug 05
Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Just Released Its Half-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Does Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Jul 25
Does Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Here's Why Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jul 11
Here's Why Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Japan Tobacco's (TSE:2914) Dividend Will Be ¥97.00

Jun 19
Japan Tobacco's (TSE:2914) Dividend Will Be ¥97.00

Getting In Cheap On Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Is Unlikely

May 26
Getting In Cheap On Japan Tobacco Inc. (TSE:2914) Is Unlikely

Results: Japan Tobacco Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

May 13
Results: Japan Tobacco Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥97.00

May 10
Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥97.00

Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

May 09
Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥97.00

Apr 25
Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥97.00

Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥97.00

Apr 11
Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥97.00

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:2914 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20273,627,467603,467574,933711,8663
12/31/20263,448,549576,635554,433683,1488
12/31/20253,273,547542,425525,089652,6329
12/31/20243,155,805498,103501,059697,6718
9/30/20243,077,337482,692323,055468,595N/A
6/30/20243,018,157500,451487,210620,360N/A
3/31/20242,916,132494,870452,145573,184N/A
12/31/20232,841,077482,288445,800567,014N/A
9/30/20232,806,302480,919517,123630,610N/A
6/30/20232,783,816465,662470,759580,475N/A
3/31/20232,741,605463,290391,665500,479N/A
12/31/20222,657,832442,716384,391483,799N/A
9/30/20222,567,311403,484418,474513,599N/A
6/30/20222,447,127377,363437,562534,221N/A
3/31/20222,358,977348,814525,115625,538N/A
12/31/20212,324,838338,490495,991598,909N/A
9/30/20212,266,539391,118444,917550,607N/A
6/30/20212,206,882362,948461,871568,071N/A
3/31/20212,120,307337,666432,684534,130N/A
12/31/20202,092,561310,253411,213519,833N/A
9/30/20202,133,975289,990563,632680,799N/A
6/30/20202,147,295294,234322,730445,106N/A
3/31/20202,189,824313,723286,198417,299N/A
12/31/20192,175,626348,190407,040540,410N/A
9/30/20192,173,891369,139147,753291,541N/A
6/30/20192,199,240396,035304,513454,169N/A
3/31/20192,206,334402,506343,935502,356N/A
12/31/20182,215,962385,677302,579461,389N/A
9/30/20182,222,573391,397361,713512,378N/A
6/30/20182,169,594382,867N/A607,885N/A
3/31/20182,148,565390,929N/A569,933N/A
12/31/20172,139,653392,409N/A419,212N/A
9/30/20172,117,649405,385N/A631,285N/A
6/30/20172,111,738400,236N/A523,701N/A
3/31/20172,115,337381,741N/A478,328N/A
12/31/20162,143,287421,695N/A376,549N/A
9/30/20162,182,953431,398N/A348,092N/A
6/30/20162,234,542433,787N/A318,620N/A
3/31/20162,232,079439,426N/A436,459N/A
12/31/20152,252,884398,176N/A468,432N/A
12/31/20142,692,993485,343N/A724,928N/A
9/30/20142,415,175410,180N/A577,661N/A
6/30/20142,408,352436,064N/A365,518N/A
3/31/20142,399,841427,987N/A396,496N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2914's forecast earnings growth (6.6% per year) is above the savings rate (0.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 2914's earnings (6.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 2914's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 2914's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (4.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 2914's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 2914's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 10:17
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Japan Tobacco Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takayuki HayanoBarclays
Gaurav JainBarclays
Jonathan LeinsterBerenberg