Stock Analysis
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Meiji Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:2269) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Meiji Holdings
What Is Meiji Holdings's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Meiji Holdings had JP¥81.2b of debt at December 2023, down from JP¥139.0b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has JP¥92.3b in cash, leading to a JP¥11.1b net cash position.
How Strong Is Meiji Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Meiji Holdings had liabilities of JP¥324.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥117.8b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥92.3b in cash and JP¥222.1b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥128.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Meiji Holdings shares are worth a total of JP¥983.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Meiji Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
The good news is that Meiji Holdings has increased its EBIT by 2.2% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Meiji Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Meiji Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Meiji Holdings recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
Although Meiji Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of JP¥11.1b. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 2.2% in the last twelve months. So we are not troubled with Meiji Holdings's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Meiji Holdings that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:2269
Meiji Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of dairy products, confectioneries, nutritional products, and pharmaceuticals in Japan and internationally.