AXYZ Valuation

Is 1381 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1381 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1381 (¥2601) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5238.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1381 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1381?

Key metric: As 1381 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1381. This is calculated by dividing 1381's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1381's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.4x
EarningsJP¥1.41b
Market CapJP¥14.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1381's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1381 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10x
4404 Miyoshi Oil & Fat
4.1xn/aJP¥14.7b
2009 Torigoe
17xn/aJP¥15.9b
8091 Nichimo
6.8xn/aJP¥15.8b
2813 Wakou Shokuhin
12.2xn/aJP¥14.1b
1381 AXYZ
10.4xn/aJP¥14.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1381 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (10x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1381's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Food Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2215 First Baking
1.7xn/aUS$25.26m
No more companies available in this PE range
1381 10.4xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies19PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1381 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the JP Food industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1381's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1381 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1381's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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