Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From ENEOS Holdings, Inc.'s (TSE:5020) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 29%

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TSE:5020

ENEOS Holdings, Inc. (TSE:5020) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 14%.

Even after such a large drop in price, ENEOS Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 14x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

ENEOS Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for ENEOS Holdings

TSE:5020 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on ENEOS Holdings.

How Is ENEOS Holdings' Growth Trending?

ENEOS Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 105%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 181% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.5% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.6% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why ENEOS Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

ENEOS Holdings' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of ENEOS Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with ENEOS Holdings.

You might be able to find a better investment than ENEOS Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ENEOS Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.