MINKABU THE INFONOID, Inc.

TSE:4436 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥12.2b

MINKABU THE INFONOID Valuation

Is 4436 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4436 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4436 (¥823) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥582.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4436 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4436?

Key metric: As 4436 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4436. This is calculated by dividing 4436's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4436's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesJP¥10.15b
Market CapJP¥12.23b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4436's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4436 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.3x
3807 Fisco
10.2xn/aJP¥7.2b
4765 SBI Global Asset Management
5.5xn/aJP¥59.5b
8737 Akatsuki
0.3xn/aJP¥12.8b
7343 Broad-mindedLtd
1.3x12.2%JP¥7.4b
4436 MINKABU THE INFONOID
1.2x9.4%JP¥12.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4436 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (4.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4436's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Capital Markets Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8737 Akatsuki
0.3xn/aUS$81.37m
7162 ASTMAX
0.2xn/aUS$19.31m
No more companies available in this PS range
4436 1.2xIndustry Avg. 2.1xNo. of Companies10PS01.63.24.86.48+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4436 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the JP Capital Markets industry average (2.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4436's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4436 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4436 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4436 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥823.00
JP¥990.00
+20.3%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Dec ’25JP¥892.00
JP¥990.00
+11.0%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥858.00
JP¥990.00
+15.4%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥875.00
JP¥990.00
+13.1%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥857.00
JP¥990.00
+15.5%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥856.00
JP¥990.00
+15.7%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥1,311.00
JP¥1,500.00
+14.4%
6.7%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,400.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥1,509.00
JP¥1,500.00
-0.6%
6.7%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,400.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥1,405.00
JP¥1,550.00
+10.3%
3.2%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥1,371.00
JP¥1,550.00
+13.1%
3.2%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥1,506.00
JP¥1,550.00
+2.9%
3.2%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥1,200.00
JP¥1,766.67
+47.2%
13.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥892.003
Nov ’24JP¥1,222.00
JP¥1,766.67
+44.6%
13.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥858.003
Oct ’24JP¥1,455.00
JP¥1,766.67
+21.4%
13.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥875.003
Sep ’24JP¥1,574.00
JP¥1,900.00
+20.7%
11.4%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥857.003
Aug ’24JP¥1,693.00
JP¥2,326.67
+37.4%
16.9%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥856.003
Jul ’24JP¥1,758.00
JP¥2,326.67
+32.3%
16.9%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥917.003
Jun ’24JP¥1,796.00
JP¥2,593.33
+44.4%
13.5%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥937.003
May ’24JP¥1,658.00
JP¥2,593.33
+56.4%
13.5%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,311.003
Apr ’24JP¥1,948.00
JP¥2,593.33
+33.1%
13.5%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,509.003
Mar ’24JP¥2,150.00
JP¥2,760.00
+28.4%
4.3%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,405.003
Feb ’24JP¥2,250.00
JP¥2,626.67
+16.7%
7.5%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,371.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,642.00
JP¥3,250.00
+23.0%
25.1%JP¥4,350.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,506.003
Dec ’23JP¥2,436.00
JP¥3,516.67
+44.4%
16.9%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,200.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 20:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

MINKABU THE INFONOID, Inc. is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nobuo KurahashiIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.
Matthew HendersonJ.P. Morgan
Kenzaburou YamadaTokai Tokyo Intelligence Laboratory Co., Ltd.