MINKABU THE INFONOID, Inc.

TSE:4436 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥12.8b

MINKABU THE INFONOID Valuation

Is 4436 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4436 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4436 (¥857) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥594.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4436 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4436?

Key metric: As 4436 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4436. This is calculated by dividing 4436's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4436's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesJP¥10.15b
Market CapJP¥12.84b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4436's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4436 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.8x
3807 Fisco
8.6xn/aJP¥6.2b
4765 SBI Global Asset Management
5.1xn/aJP¥56.0b
8737 Akatsuki
0.3xn/aJP¥13.0b
8789 FinTech Global
1.3xn/aJP¥17.4b
4436 MINKABU THE INFONOID
1.3x9.4%JP¥12.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4436 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (3.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4436's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Capital Markets Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8737 Akatsuki
0.3xn/aUS$83.71m
7162 ASTMAX
0.2xn/aUS$20.74m
No more companies available in this PS range
4436 1.3xIndustry Avg. 2.1xNo. of Companies12PS01.63.24.86.48+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4436 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the JP Capital Markets industry average (2.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4436's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4436 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4436 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4436 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥857.00
JP¥990.00
+15.5%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥858.00
JP¥990.00
+15.4%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥875.00
JP¥990.00
+13.1%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥857.00
JP¥990.00
+15.5%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥856.00
JP¥990.00
+15.7%
1.0%JP¥1,000.00JP¥980.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥1,311.00
JP¥1,500.00
+14.4%
6.7%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,400.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥1,509.00
JP¥1,500.00
-0.6%
6.7%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,400.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥1,405.00
JP¥1,550.00
+10.3%
3.2%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥1,371.00
JP¥1,550.00
+13.1%
3.2%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥1,506.00
JP¥1,550.00
+2.9%
3.2%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥1,200.00
JP¥1,766.67
+47.2%
13.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥1,222.00
JP¥1,766.67
+44.6%
13.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥858.003
Oct ’24JP¥1,455.00
JP¥1,766.67
+21.4%
13.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥875.003
Sep ’24JP¥1,574.00
JP¥1,900.00
+20.7%
11.4%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥857.003
Aug ’24JP¥1,693.00
JP¥2,326.67
+37.4%
16.9%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥856.003
Jul ’24JP¥1,758.00
JP¥2,326.67
+32.3%
16.9%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥917.003
Jun ’24JP¥1,796.00
JP¥2,593.33
+44.4%
13.5%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥937.003
May ’24JP¥1,658.00
JP¥2,593.33
+56.4%
13.5%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,311.003
Apr ’24JP¥1,948.00
JP¥2,593.33
+33.1%
13.5%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,509.003
Mar ’24JP¥2,150.00
JP¥2,760.00
+28.4%
4.3%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,405.003
Feb ’24JP¥2,250.00
JP¥2,626.67
+16.7%
7.5%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,371.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,642.00
JP¥3,250.00
+23.0%
25.1%JP¥4,350.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,506.003
Dec ’23JP¥2,436.00
JP¥3,516.67
+44.4%
16.9%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,200.003
Nov ’23JP¥2,059.00
JP¥3,516.67
+70.8%
16.9%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,222.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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