Ohsho Food Service Corp.

TSE:9936 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥169.8b

Ohsho Food Service Valuation

Is 9936 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9936 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9936 (¥3005) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2795.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9936 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9936?

Key metric: As 9936 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9936. This is calculated by dividing 9936's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9936's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.2x
EarningsJP¥7.66b
Market CapJP¥169.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9936's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9936 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average77.7x
7630 Ichibanya
57.3x10.9%JP¥161.6b
7616 ColowideLtd
186.4xn/aJP¥182.6b
9861 Yoshinoya Holdings
41.5x1.4%JP¥205.1b
2695 Kura SushiInc
25.6x5.9%JP¥152.6b
9936 Ohsho Food Service
22.2x5.7%JP¥169.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9936 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the peer average (77.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9936's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.8xn/aUS$24.23m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
9936 22.2xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies19PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9936 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9936's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9936 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.2x
Fair PE Ratio23.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9936 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9936 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,005.00
JP¥3,377.78
+12.4%
9.4%JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,033.33n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥2,993.00
JP¥3,222.11
+7.7%
4.2%JP¥3,333.00JP¥3,033.33n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥2,935.00
JP¥3,233.22
+10.2%
4.4%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,033.33n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥2,696.67
JP¥3,233.33
+19.9%
4.4%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,033.33n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥2,676.67
JP¥3,233.33
+20.8%
4.4%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,033.33n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥2,853.33
JP¥3,233.33
+13.3%
4.4%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,033.33n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥2,883.33
JP¥3,233.33
+12.1%
4.4%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,033.33n/a3
May ’25JP¥2,586.67
JP¥3,244.44
+25.4%
1.9%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,200.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥2,620.00
JP¥3,244.44
+23.8%
1.9%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,200.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥2,593.33
JP¥3,244.44
+25.1%
1.9%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,200.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥2,660.00
JP¥3,211.11
+20.7%
3.0%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥2,690.00
JP¥3,211.11
+19.4%
3.0%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥2,683.33
JP¥3,211.11
+19.7%
3.0%JP¥3,333.33JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥2,626.67
JP¥3,033.33
+15.5%
9.1%JP¥3,333.33JP¥2,666.67JP¥2,993.003
Oct ’24JP¥2,303.33
JP¥2,655.56
+15.3%
0.6%JP¥2,666.67JP¥2,633.33JP¥2,935.003
Sep ’24JP¥2,343.33
JP¥2,655.56
+13.3%
0.6%JP¥2,666.67JP¥2,633.33JP¥2,696.673
Aug ’24JP¥2,286.67
JP¥2,655.56
+16.1%
0.6%JP¥2,666.67JP¥2,633.33JP¥2,676.673
Jul ’24JP¥2,233.33
JP¥2,583.33
+15.7%
1.9%JP¥2,633.33JP¥2,533.33JP¥2,853.332
Jun ’24JP¥2,103.33
JP¥2,583.33
+22.8%
1.9%JP¥2,633.33JP¥2,533.33JP¥2,883.332
May ’24JP¥2,066.67
JP¥2,583.33
+25.0%
1.9%JP¥2,633.33JP¥2,533.33JP¥2,586.672
Apr ’24JP¥2,006.67
JP¥2,583.33
+28.7%
1.9%JP¥2,633.33JP¥2,533.33JP¥2,620.002
Mar ’24JP¥2,013.33
JP¥2,583.33
+28.3%
1.9%JP¥2,633.33JP¥2,533.33JP¥2,593.332
Feb ’24JP¥2,003.33
JP¥2,633.33
+31.4%
1.3%JP¥2,666.67JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,660.002
Jan ’24JP¥1,993.33
JP¥2,633.33
+32.1%
1.3%JP¥2,666.67JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,690.002
Dec ’23JP¥2,003.33
JP¥2,633.33
+31.4%
1.3%JP¥2,666.67JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,683.332
Nov ’23JP¥2,033.33
JP¥2,633.33
+29.5%
1.3%JP¥2,666.67JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,626.672

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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