Silver Life Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 9262 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

9262 (¥744) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥1051.47)

Is 9262 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9262 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9262 (¥744) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1051.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9262 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9262?

Key metric: As 9262 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9262. This is calculated by dividing 9262's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9262's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	12.1x
Earnings	JP¥668.05m
Market Cap	JP¥8.08b

9262 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.6x
PEG Ratio	1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9262's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9262 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	50.7x
7604 UMENOHANA	10.3x	n/a	JP¥8.0b
7682 HamayuuLtd	72.3x	n/a	JP¥8.4b
7674 NATTY SWANKY holdingsLtd	67x	42.1%	JP¥8.2b
9950 Hachi-Ban	53.5x	n/a	JP¥10.2b
9262 Silver Life	12.1x	11.7%	JP¥8.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9262 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (50.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9262's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
7625 Global-Dining	3.7x	n/a	US$23.83m
5534 Angel Group	2.9x	n/a	US$22.19m

No more companies available in this PE range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9262 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9262's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9262 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	12.1x
Fair PE Ratio	16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9262 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9262 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	JP¥744.00	JP¥1,550.00 +108.3%	9.7%	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥1,400.00	n/a	2
Nov ’25	JP¥715.00	JP¥1,550.00 +116.8%	9.7%	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥1,400.00	n/a	2
Oct ’25	JP¥811.00	JP¥1,550.00 +91.1%	9.7%	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥1,400.00	n/a	2
Sep ’25	JP¥936.00	JP¥1,800.00 +92.3%	5.6%	JP¥1,900.00	JP¥1,700.00	n/a	2
Aug ’25	JP¥911.00	JP¥1,800.00 +97.6%	5.6%	JP¥1,900.00	JP¥1,700.00	n/a	2
Jul ’25	JP¥978.00	JP¥1,800.00 +84.0%	5.6%	JP¥1,900.00	JP¥1,700.00	n/a	2
Jun ’25	JP¥893.00	JP¥1,750.00 +96.0%	2.9%	JP¥1,800.00	JP¥1,700.00	n/a	2
May ’25	JP¥882.00	JP¥1,750.00 +98.4%	2.9%	JP¥1,800.00	JP¥1,700.00	n/a	2
Aug ’24	JP¥1,261.00	JP¥2,250.00 +78.4%	24.4%	JP¥2,800.00	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥911.00	2
Jul ’24	JP¥1,417.00	JP¥2,250.00 +58.8%	24.4%	JP¥2,800.00	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥978.00	2
Jun ’24	JP¥1,257.00	JP¥2,250.00 +79.0%	24.4%	JP¥2,800.00	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥893.00	2
May ’24	JP¥1,269.00	JP¥2,250.00 +77.3%	24.4%	JP¥2,800.00	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥882.00	2
Apr ’24	JP¥1,355.00	JP¥2,250.00 +66.1%	24.4%	JP¥2,800.00	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥935.00	2
Mar ’24	JP¥1,960.00	JP¥2,500.00 +27.6%	32.0%	JP¥3,300.00	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥841.00	2
Feb ’24	JP¥1,661.00	JP¥2,500.00 +50.5%	32.0%	JP¥3,300.00	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥854.00	2
Jan ’24	JP¥1,763.00	JP¥2,500.00 +41.8%	32.0%	JP¥3,300.00	JP¥1,700.00	JP¥893.00	2
Dec ’23	JP¥1,496.00	JP¥2,400.00 +60.4%	37.5%	JP¥3,300.00	JP¥1,500.00	JP¥1,032.00	2
Nov ’23	JP¥1,483.00	JP¥2,400.00 +61.8%	37.5%	JP¥3,300.00	JP¥1,500.00	JP¥1,040.00	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.