Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Japan Living Warranty Inc.'s (TSE:7320) 28% Share Price Plunge

Published
TSE:7320

Japan Living Warranty Inc. (TSE:7320) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 10% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Japan Living Warranty's P/E ratio of 11.5x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Japan is also close to 13x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times have been advantageous for Japan Living Warranty as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Japan Living Warranty

TSE:7320 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Japan Living Warranty's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Japan Living Warranty's Growth Trending?

Japan Living Warranty's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 60%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 187% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 9.8% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Japan Living Warranty is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Following Japan Living Warranty's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Japan Living Warranty maintains its moderate P/E off the back of its forecast growth being in line with the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Japan Living Warranty, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.