Adventure Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 6030 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

6030 (¥3865) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥7231.77)

Is 6030 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6030 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6030 (¥3865) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7231.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6030 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6030?

Key metric: As 6030 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6030. This is calculated by dividing 6030's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6030's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	38.3x
Earnings	JP¥750.00m
Market Cap	JP¥28.75b

6030 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.3x
PEG Ratio	0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6030's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6030 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	8.4x
3772 Wealth Management	9.1x	n/a	JP¥20.5b
6191 AirTrip	12.1x	5.5%	JP¥25.3b
9726 KNT-CT Holdings	4.5x	n/a	JP¥33.1b
6076 Amaze	7.8x	n/a	JP¥17.3b
6030 Adventure	38.3x	53.5%	JP¥28.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6030 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.3x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6030's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
7625 Global-Dining	3.8x	n/a	US$24.14m
5534 Angel Group	2.9x	n/a	US$22.19m

No more companies available in this PE range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6030 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.3x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6030's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6030 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	38.3x
Fair PE Ratio	36.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6030 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.