tripla Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 5136 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

5136 (¥1305) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥7640.33)

Is 5136 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5136 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5136 (¥1305) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7640.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5136 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5136?

Key metric: As 5136 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5136. This is calculated by dividing 5136's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5136's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	55.4x
Earnings	JP¥137.61m
Market Cap	JP¥7.50b

5136 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.09x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	0.8x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5136's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5136 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	12.8x
9720 Hotel NewgrandLtd	10.9x	n/a	JP¥7.3b
9713 Royal Hotel	27.6x	n/a	JP¥12.4b
6565 Abhotel	7.2x	n/a	JP¥17.2b
6547 GreensLtd	5.3x	-1.9%	JP¥24.8b
5136 tripla	55.4x	n/a	JP¥7.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5136 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.4x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5136's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
7625 Global-Dining	3.8x	n/a	US$24.06m
5534 Angel Group	2.9x	n/a	US$22.19m

No more companies available in this PE range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5136 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.4x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5136's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5136 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	55.4x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 5136's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.