KeyHolder Valuation

Is 4712 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4712 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4712 (¥729) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1530.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4712 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4712?

Key metric: As 4712 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4712. This is calculated by dividing 4712's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4712's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.8x
EarningsJP¥1.40b
Market CapJP¥13.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4712's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4712 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
6040 Nippon Ski Resort DevelopmentLtd
14xn/aJP¥15.3b
2340 Gokurakuyu Holdings
14.9xn/aJP¥13.6b
9675 Joban KosanLtd
5.8xn/aJP¥14.4b
2378 RenaissanceIncorporated
27.7x22.7%JP¥19.2b
4712 KeyHolder
9.8xn/aJP¥13.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4712 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4712's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.8xn/aUS$24.23m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
4712 9.8xIndustry Avg. 21.5xNo. of Companies19PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4712 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4712's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4712 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4712's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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