The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that TAC Co.,Ltd. (TSE:4319) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is TACLtd's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 TACLtd had debt of JP¥5.40b, up from JP¥5.06b in one year. However, it does have JP¥5.07b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥329.9m.
How Strong Is TACLtd's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, TACLtd had liabilities of JP¥11.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥2.28b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥5.07b in cash and JP¥4.16b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥4.62b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of JP¥3.64b, we think shareholders really should watch TACLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since TACLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year TACLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 2.7%, to JP¥19b. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months TACLtd produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost JP¥112m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through JP¥814m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example TACLtd has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4319
TACLtd
Engages in personal education, corporate training, publishing, and manpower businesses in Japan.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.