Skylark Holdings Co., Ltd.

TSE:3197 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥502.3b

Skylark Holdings Valuation

Is 3197 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3197 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3197 (¥2204) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3149.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3197 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3197?

Key metric: As 3197 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3197. This is calculated by dividing 3197's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3197's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio46.8x
EarningsJP¥10.70b
Market CapJP¥502.32b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3197's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3197 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.6x
3563 Food & Life Companies
23.9x9.9%JP¥355.2b
3397 TORIDOLL Holdings
74.4x38.1%JP¥308.9b
2702 McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan)
28.5x8.4%JP¥839.0b
7581 SaizeriyaLtd
31.5x14.2%JP¥253.4b
3197 Skylark Holdings
46.8x10.7%JP¥502.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3197 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.8x) compared to the peer average (39.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3197's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.8xn/aUS$23.83m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
3197 46.8xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies18PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3197 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.8x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3197's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3197 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.8x
Fair PE Ratio28.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3197 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3197 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,204.00
JP¥2,037.50
-7.6%
25.2%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥2,359.50
JP¥2,037.50
-13.6%
25.2%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥2,306.00
JP¥2,025.00
-12.2%
25.3%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥2,232.50
JP¥2,025.00
-9.3%
25.3%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥2,025.50
JP¥1,982.50
-2.1%
26.9%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,130.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥2,178.00
JP¥1,982.50
-9.0%
26.9%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,130.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥2,162.00
JP¥1,957.50
-9.5%
25.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,130.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥2,246.00
JP¥1,910.00
-15.0%
27.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,040.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥2,451.50
JP¥1,910.00
-22.1%
27.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,040.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥2,178.50
JP¥1,910.00
-12.3%
27.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,040.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥2,409.00
JP¥1,880.00
-22.0%
27.5%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,020.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥2,065.00
JP¥1,805.00
-12.6%
27.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,020.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥2,199.00
JP¥1,780.00
-19.1%
26.6%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,020.00n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥2,312.50
JP¥1,770.00
-23.5%
27.7%JP¥2,300.00JP¥980.00JP¥2,359.504
Oct ’24JP¥2,044.50
JP¥1,480.00
-27.6%
26.7%JP¥2,000.00JP¥980.00JP¥2,306.004
Sep ’24JP¥2,035.00
JP¥1,480.00
-27.3%
26.7%JP¥2,000.00JP¥980.00JP¥2,232.504
Aug ’24JP¥1,848.00
JP¥1,282.50
-30.6%
17.2%JP¥1,500.00JP¥940.00JP¥2,025.504
Jul ’24JP¥1,800.50
JP¥1,272.50
-29.3%
17.5%JP¥1,500.00JP¥940.00JP¥2,178.004
Jun ’24JP¥1,838.00
JP¥1,272.50
-30.8%
17.5%JP¥1,500.00JP¥940.00JP¥2,162.004
May ’24JP¥1,844.00
JP¥1,272.50
-31.0%
17.5%JP¥1,500.00JP¥940.00JP¥2,246.004
Apr ’24JP¥1,730.00
JP¥1,277.50
-26.2%
17.3%JP¥1,500.00JP¥940.00JP¥2,451.504
Mar ’24JP¥1,594.00
JP¥1,227.50
-23.0%
15.1%JP¥1,450.00JP¥940.00JP¥2,178.504
Feb ’24JP¥1,535.00
JP¥1,252.50
-18.4%
11.8%JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,040.00JP¥2,409.004
Jan ’24JP¥1,527.00
JP¥1,252.50
-18.0%
11.8%JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,040.00JP¥2,065.004
Dec ’23JP¥1,591.00
JP¥1,252.50
-21.3%
11.8%JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,040.00JP¥2,199.004
Nov ’23JP¥1,585.00
JP¥1,255.00
-20.8%
11.7%JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,040.00JP¥2,312.504

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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