Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Red Planet Japan, Inc. (TYO:3350) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Red Planet Japan
How Much Debt Does Red Planet Japan Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Red Planet Japan had JP¥3.12b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has JP¥316.0m in cash leading to net debt of about JP¥2.81b.
How Strong Is Red Planet Japan's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Red Planet Japan had liabilities of JP¥1.20b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥12.8b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥316.0m in cash and JP¥48.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥13.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the JP¥3.55b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Red Planet Japan would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Red Planet Japan's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Red Planet Japan had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 45%, to JP¥1.3b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Red Planet Japan's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping JP¥1.2b. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized JP¥1.4b in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Red Planet Japan is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3350
Excellent balance sheet low.