Ain Holdings Inc.

TSE:9627 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥172.9b

Ain Holdings Valuation

Is 9627 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9627 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9627 (¥4937) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5960.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9627 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9627?

Key metric: As 9627 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9627. This is calculated by dividing 9627's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9627's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.9x
EarningsJP¥10.90b
Market CapJP¥172.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9627's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9627 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
3148 Create SD Holdings
13.4xn/aJP¥185.9b
3141 Welcia Holdings
17.7x7.1%JP¥388.9b
9989 SundrugLtd
14.2x6.2%JP¥415.8b
3391 Tsuruha Holdings
15.9x8.5%JP¥394.1b
9627 Ain Holdings
15.9x10.7%JP¥172.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9627 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9627's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9627 15.9xIndustry Avg. 12.6xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9627 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the JP Consumer Retailing industry average (12.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9627's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9627 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9627 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9627 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,937.00
JP¥5,597.50
+13.4%
19.3%JP¥7,190.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥4,900.00
JP¥5,597.50
+14.2%
19.3%JP¥7,190.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥5,375.00
JP¥5,597.50
+4.1%
19.3%JP¥7,190.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥5,284.00
JP¥5,450.00
+3.1%
18.8%JP¥6,900.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥5,676.00
JP¥5,450.00
-4.0%
18.8%JP¥6,900.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥5,959.00
JP¥5,500.00
-7.7%
18.0%JP¥6,900.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥5,850.00
JP¥5,375.00
-8.1%
17.9%JP¥6,900.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥6,125.00
JP¥5,370.00
-12.3%
17.8%JP¥6,880.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥5,565.00
JP¥5,370.00
-3.5%
17.8%JP¥6,880.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥4,682.00
JP¥5,287.50
+12.9%
19.0%JP¥6,880.00JP¥4,300.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥4,807.00
JP¥5,904.00
+22.8%
28.7%JP¥9,000.00JP¥4,300.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥4,474.00
JP¥5,890.00
+31.6%
28.9%JP¥9,000.00JP¥4,300.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥4,447.00
JP¥5,824.00
+31.0%
29.1%JP¥9,000.00JP¥4,300.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥4,224.00
JP¥5,703.33
+35.0%
27.5%JP¥9,000.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,900.006
Oct ’24JP¥4,410.00
JP¥5,703.33
+29.3%
27.5%JP¥9,000.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥5,375.006
Sep ’24JP¥4,547.00
JP¥5,874.29
+29.2%
20.4%JP¥8,500.00JP¥4,500.00JP¥5,284.007
Aug ’24JP¥5,161.00
JP¥6,251.43
+21.1%
17.1%JP¥8,500.00JP¥5,100.00JP¥5,676.007
Jul ’24JP¥5,075.00
JP¥6,294.29
+24.0%
16.5%JP¥8,500.00JP¥5,100.00JP¥5,959.007
Jun ’24JP¥5,750.00
JP¥6,680.00
+16.2%
15.9%JP¥9,000.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥5,850.007
May ’24JP¥5,700.00
JP¥6,765.71
+18.7%
16.4%JP¥9,000.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥6,125.007
Apr ’24JP¥5,550.00
JP¥6,737.14
+21.4%
16.1%JP¥9,000.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥5,565.007
Mar ’24JP¥5,600.00
JP¥7,100.00
+26.8%
18.0%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,682.007
Feb ’24JP¥5,520.00
JP¥7,214.29
+30.7%
17.1%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,807.007
Jan ’24JP¥6,040.00
JP¥7,257.14
+20.2%
16.4%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,474.007
Dec ’23JP¥6,700.00
JP¥7,528.57
+12.4%
17.6%JP¥10,000.00JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,447.007
Nov ’23JP¥6,250.00
JP¥7,628.57
+22.1%
17.8%JP¥10,000.00JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,224.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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