Stock Analysis

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:3038) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

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TSE:3038

When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (TSE:3038) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 35.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Kobe Bussan has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Kobe Bussan

TSE:3038 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 18th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Kobe Bussan.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kobe Bussan would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 32% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.8% each year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.6% per year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Kobe Bussan's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Kobe Bussan's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Kobe Bussan's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Kobe Bussan with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kobe Bussan might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.