NAGAWA Valuation

Is 9663 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9663 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9663 (¥6520) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥10868.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9663 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9663?

Key metric: As 9663 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9663. This is calculated by dividing 9663's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9663's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.7x
EarningsJP¥3.23b
Market CapJP¥103.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9663's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9663 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.8x
1419 Tama Home
20.5xn/aJP¥107.1b
8892 ES-CON JAPAN
14.1xn/aJP¥94.4b
1766 Token
13.9x5.6%JP¥146.3b
8877 Eslead
6.5xn/aJP¥67.3b
9663 NAGAWA
31.7xn/aJP¥103.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9663 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9663's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9663 31.7xIndustry Avg. 11.9xNo. of Companies12PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9663 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the JP Consumer Durables industry average (11.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9663's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9663 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 9663's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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