Stock Analysis
ES-CON JAPAN Ltd. (TSE:8892) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥48.00 per share on the 26th of June. The dividend yield will be 5.0% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for ES-CON JAPAN
ES-CON JAPAN's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, ES-CON JAPAN's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 5.2% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 72%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.
ES-CON JAPAN Has A Solid Track Record
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ¥2.00 total annually to ¥48.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 37% over that duration. We can see that payments have shown some very nice upward momentum without faltering, which provides some reassurance that future payments will also be reliable.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. It's not great to see that ES-CON JAPAN's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 5.2% per year over the past five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.
Our Thoughts On ES-CON JAPAN's Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about ES-CON JAPAN's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think ES-CON JAPAN is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for ES-CON JAPAN (of which 3 are significant!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8892
ES-CON JAPAN
Engages in the real estate development business in Japan.