Goldwin Inc. (TSE:8111) Just Released Its Interim Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

It's been a pretty great week for Goldwin Inc. (TSE:8111) shareholders, with its shares surging 16% to JP¥2,962 in the week since its latest interim results. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of JP¥182 per share roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Revenues of JP¥56b came in 2.3% ahead of analyst predictions. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Goldwin's seven analysts is for revenues of JP¥140.7b in 2026. This reflects a modest 4.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to swell 17% to JP¥198. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥139.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥193 in 2026. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Goldwin's earnings potential following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for Goldwin

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of JP¥3,545, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Goldwin at JP¥5,000 per share, while the most bearish prices it at JP¥2,633. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Goldwin'shistorical trends, as the 9.4% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 is roughly in line with the 9.1% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 7.0% per year. So it's pretty clear that Goldwin is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Goldwin following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥3,545, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Goldwin going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Goldwin you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.