Sekisui House, Ltd.

TSE:1928 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥2.5t

Sekisui House Valuation

Is 1928 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1928 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1928 (¥3785) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1995.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1928 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1928?

Key metric: As 1928 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1928. This is calculated by dividing 1928's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1928's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.9x
EarningsJP¥225.26b
Market CapJP¥2.45t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1928's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1928 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
1911 Sumitomo Forestry
8.7x6.1%JP¥1.1t
3288 Open House Group
6.8x3.2%JP¥628.2b
1808 HASEKO
12x6.6%JP¥559.3b
3291 Iida Group Holdings
18.6x12.0%JP¥671.5b
1928 Sekisui House
10.9x7.1%JP¥2.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1928 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1928's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
1928 10.9xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1928 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the JP Consumer Durables industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1928's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1928 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.9x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1928 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1928 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,785.00
JP¥4,243.33
+12.1%
5.3%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,900.00n/a9
Dec ’25JP¥3,540.00
JP¥4,260.00
+20.3%
5.1%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,900.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥3,661.00
JP¥4,260.00
+16.4%
5.1%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,900.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥4,030.00
JP¥4,193.33
+4.1%
6.0%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,800.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥3,754.00
JP¥3,933.33
+4.8%
6.2%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,400.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥3,520.00
JP¥3,933.33
+11.7%
6.2%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,400.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥3,563.00
JP¥3,905.56
+9.6%
6.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,400.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥3,532.00
JP¥3,708.89
+5.0%
8.8%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
May ’25JP¥3,621.00
JP¥3,642.22
+0.6%
9.3%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥3,482.00
JP¥3,578.75
+2.8%
9.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥3,378.00
JP¥3,480.00
+3.0%
10.7%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥3,317.00
JP¥3,480.00
+4.9%
10.7%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥3,132.00
JP¥3,337.78
+6.6%
5.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥3,068.00
JP¥3,276.67
+6.8%
7.1%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,850.00JP¥3,540.009
Nov ’24JP¥2,963.00
JP¥3,249.00
+9.7%
7.2%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,850.00JP¥3,661.0010
Oct ’24JP¥2,977.00
JP¥3,160.00
+6.1%
11.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,030.009
Sep ’24JP¥3,017.00
JP¥3,013.75
-0.1%
6.5%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,754.008
Aug ’24JP¥2,910.00
JP¥2,988.75
+2.7%
6.2%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,520.008
Jul ’24JP¥2,905.50
JP¥2,945.56
+1.4%
7.2%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,563.009
Jun ’24JP¥2,729.00
JP¥2,917.78
+6.9%
7.0%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,532.009
May ’24JP¥2,810.50
JP¥2,862.22
+1.8%
5.9%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,621.009
Apr ’24JP¥2,698.00
JP¥2,817.78
+4.4%
6.2%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,482.009
Mar ’24JP¥2,578.50
JP¥2,713.00
+5.2%
8.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,378.0010
Feb ’24JP¥2,432.50
JP¥2,713.00
+11.5%
8.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,317.0010
Jan ’24JP¥2,333.50
JP¥2,723.00
+16.7%
8.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,132.0010
Dec ’23JP¥2,528.00
JP¥2,709.00
+7.2%
8.7%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,068.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/28 02:30
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Sekisui House, Ltd. is covered by 27 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takashi HashimotoBarclays
Yasuharu SugimuraBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Takumi KasaiBofA Global Research