Sekisui House, Ltd.

TSE:1928 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥2.3t

Sekisui House Valuation

Is 1928 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1928 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1928 (¥3623) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1978.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1928 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1928?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1928 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.2x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1928's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1928 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.6x
1911 Sumitomo Forestry
9.1x5.9%JP¥1.1t
4204 Sekisui Chemical
12.8x4.7%JP¥988.5b
3288 Open House Group
6.8x1.2%JP¥675.2b
3291 Iida Group Holdings
17.7x11.5%JP¥657.2b
1928 Sekisui House
10.1x5.9%JP¥2.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1928 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1928's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.6%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.6%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1928 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the JP Consumer Durables industry average (11.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1928's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1928 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1928 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1928 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,623.00
JP¥4,260.00
+17.6%
5.1%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,900.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥3,661.00
JP¥4,260.00
+16.4%
5.1%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,900.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥4,030.00
JP¥4,193.33
+4.1%
6.0%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,800.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥3,754.00
JP¥3,933.33
+4.8%
6.2%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,400.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥3,520.00
JP¥3,933.33
+11.7%
6.2%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,400.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥3,563.00
JP¥3,905.56
+9.6%
6.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,400.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥3,532.00
JP¥3,708.89
+5.0%
8.8%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
May ’25JP¥3,621.00
JP¥3,642.22
+0.6%
9.3%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥3,482.00
JP¥3,578.75
+2.8%
9.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥3,378.00
JP¥3,480.00
+3.0%
10.7%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥3,317.00
JP¥3,480.00
+4.9%
10.7%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥3,132.00
JP¥3,337.78
+6.6%
5.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,100.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥3,068.00
JP¥3,276.67
+6.8%
7.1%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,850.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥2,963.00
JP¥3,249.00
+9.7%
7.2%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,850.00JP¥3,661.0010
Oct ’24JP¥2,977.00
JP¥3,160.00
+6.1%
11.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,030.009
Sep ’24JP¥3,017.00
JP¥3,013.75
-0.1%
6.5%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,754.008
Aug ’24JP¥2,910.00
JP¥2,988.75
+2.7%
6.2%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,520.008
Jul ’24JP¥2,905.50
JP¥2,945.56
+1.4%
7.2%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,563.009
Jun ’24JP¥2,729.00
JP¥2,917.78
+6.9%
7.0%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,532.009
May ’24JP¥2,810.50
JP¥2,862.22
+1.8%
5.9%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,621.009
Apr ’24JP¥2,698.00
JP¥2,817.78
+4.4%
6.2%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,482.009
Mar ’24JP¥2,578.50
JP¥2,713.00
+5.2%
8.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,378.0010
Feb ’24JP¥2,432.50
JP¥2,713.00
+11.5%
8.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,317.0010
Jan ’24JP¥2,333.50
JP¥2,723.00
+16.7%
8.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,132.0010
Dec ’23JP¥2,528.00
JP¥2,709.00
+7.2%
8.7%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,068.0010
Nov ’23JP¥2,442.00
JP¥2,689.00
+10.1%
8.5%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,963.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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