Nidec Corporation

TSE:6594 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥3.3t

Nidec Valuation

Is 6594 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6594 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6594 (¥2916.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3868.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6594 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6594?

Key metric: As 6594 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6594. This is calculated by dividing 6594's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6594's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.3x
EarningsJP¥95.18b
Market CapJP¥3.30t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6594's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6594 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.1x
5803 Fujikura
28.5x14.8%JP¥1.6t
6504 Fuji Electric
14x5.7%JP¥1.2t
5801 Furukawa Electric
19.5x16.2%JP¥428.7b
6592 Mabuchi Motor
18.5x5.4%JP¥279.4b
6594 Nidec
35.2x22.7%JP¥3.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6594 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6594's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Electrical Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6594 35.3xIndustry Avg. 11.6xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6594 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the JP Electrical industry average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6594's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6594 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.3x
Fair PE Ratio26.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6594 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6594 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,916.50
JP¥4,088.82
+40.2%
17.1%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,610.00n/a17
Nov ’25JP¥3,017.00
JP¥4,088.82
+35.5%
17.1%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,610.00n/a17
Oct ’25JP¥2,969.50
JP¥4,142.65
+39.5%
17.8%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,650.00n/a17
Sep ’25JP¥2,973.00
JP¥4,198.53
+41.2%
16.9%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,650.00n/a17
Aug ’25JP¥3,316.50
JP¥4,239.71
+27.8%
16.0%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,650.00n/a17
Jul ’25JP¥3,560.00
JP¥4,119.44
+15.7%
15.0%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,650.00n/a18
Jun ’25JP¥3,921.50
JP¥4,031.94
+2.8%
17.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,300.00n/a18
May ’25JP¥3,709.50
JP¥3,912.50
+5.5%
16.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,300.00n/a18
Apr ’25JP¥3,091.50
JP¥3,733.33
+20.8%
17.5%JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,300.00n/a18
Mar ’25JP¥2,858.00
JP¥3,797.22
+32.9%
19.3%JP¥5,250.00JP¥2,300.00n/a18
Feb ’25JP¥2,712.00
JP¥3,808.82
+40.4%
19.8%JP¥5,250.00JP¥2,300.00n/a17
Jan ’25JP¥2,847.50
JP¥4,052.78
+42.3%
20.3%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,300.00n/a18
Dec ’24JP¥2,775.50
JP¥4,058.33
+46.2%
20.1%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,300.00n/a18
Nov ’24JP¥2,766.50
JP¥4,244.44
+53.4%
20.0%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥3,017.0018
Oct ’24JP¥3,465.50
JP¥4,520.83
+30.5%
18.2%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,969.5018
Sep ’24JP¥3,809.00
JP¥4,553.95
+19.6%
18.0%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,973.0019
Aug ’24JP¥4,230.50
JP¥4,488.16
+6.1%
18.9%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥3,316.5019
Jul ’24JP¥3,922.50
JP¥4,240.79
+8.1%
17.9%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥3,560.0019
Jun ’24JP¥3,487.00
JP¥4,176.39
+19.8%
18.7%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥3,921.5018
May ’24JP¥3,406.00
JP¥4,240.28
+24.5%
19.8%JP¥5,650.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥3,709.5018
Apr ’24JP¥3,422.50
JP¥4,687.50
+37.0%
18.8%JP¥6,000.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥3,091.5018
Mar ’24JP¥3,442.00
JP¥4,894.44
+42.2%
17.9%JP¥6,250.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥2,858.0018
Feb ’24JP¥3,581.00
JP¥4,933.33
+37.8%
17.0%JP¥6,250.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,712.0018
Jan ’24JP¥3,419.50
JP¥5,411.11
+58.2%
17.2%JP¥6,250.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,847.5018
Dec ’23JP¥4,381.50
JP¥5,422.22
+23.8%
16.6%JP¥6,250.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,775.5018
Nov ’23JP¥4,070.50
JP¥5,450.00
+33.9%
16.1%JP¥6,250.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,766.5018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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