Daifuku Valuation

Is 6383 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6383 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6383 (¥3252) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2196.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6383 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6383?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6383 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.6x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6383's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6383 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.2x
6361 Ebara
20x8.8%JP¥1.2t
6586 Makita
38.1x19.7%JP¥1.1t
6479 MINEBEA MITSUMI
17.7x2.1%JP¥1.2t
6506 YASKAWA Electric
33.2x8.5%JP¥1.7t
6383 Daifuku
30.2x10.4%JP¥1.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6383 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the peer average (27.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6383's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6383 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6383's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6383 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.2x
Fair PE Ratio20.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6383 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6383 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,252.00
JP¥3,574.17
+9.9%
11.1%JP¥4,100.00JP¥2,700.00n/a12
Apr ’25JP¥3,508.00
JP¥3,499.17
-0.3%
12.8%JP¥4,100.00JP¥2,300.00n/a12
Mar ’25JP¥3,538.00
JP¥3,414.62
-3.5%
10.6%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,300.00n/a13
Feb ’25JP¥2,869.00
JP¥3,268.46
+13.9%
10.1%JP¥3,650.00JP¥2,300.00n/a13
Jan ’25JP¥2,852.50
JP¥3,156.92
+10.7%
11.2%JP¥3,650.00JP¥2,300.00n/a13
Dec ’24JP¥2,750.50
JP¥3,145.71
+14.4%
11.0%JP¥3,650.00JP¥2,300.00n/a14
Nov ’24JP¥2,501.00
JP¥3,159.23
+26.3%
11.5%JP¥3,650.00JP¥2,300.00n/a13
Oct ’24JP¥2,829.50
JP¥3,147.50
+11.2%
12.0%JP¥3,650.00JP¥2,300.00n/a12
Sep ’24JP¥2,708.00
JP¥3,207.38
+18.4%
11.9%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,300.00n/a14
Aug ’24JP¥3,019.00
JP¥3,221.67
+6.7%
12.2%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,300.00n/a14
Jul ’24JP¥2,942.50
JP¥3,126.89
+6.3%
13.2%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,200.00n/a15
Jun ’24JP¥2,847.00
JP¥3,059.58
+7.5%
13.4%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,200.00n/a16
May ’24JP¥2,554.00
JP¥3,032.22
+18.7%
15.2%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,200.00n/a15
Apr ’24JP¥2,443.00
JP¥3,030.21
+24.0%
14.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,508.0016
Mar ’24JP¥2,476.67
JP¥3,037.29
+22.6%
14.7%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,538.0016
Feb ’24JP¥2,356.67
JP¥3,002.00
+27.4%
15.4%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,869.0015
Jan ’24JP¥2,060.00
JP¥3,037.29
+47.4%
15.4%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,852.5016
Dec ’23JP¥2,396.67
JP¥3,059.58
+27.7%
15.9%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,750.5016
Nov ’23JP¥2,273.33
JP¥3,120.00
+37.2%
13.2%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,566.67JP¥2,501.0016
Oct ’23JP¥2,270.00
JP¥3,167.29
+39.5%
12.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,566.67JP¥2,829.5016
Sep ’23JP¥2,640.00
JP¥3,236.04
+22.6%
10.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,566.67JP¥2,708.0016
Aug ’23JP¥2,893.33
JP¥3,256.88
+12.6%
11.0%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,566.67JP¥3,019.0016
Jul ’23JP¥2,566.67
JP¥3,256.88
+26.9%
11.0%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,566.67JP¥2,942.5016
Jun ’23JP¥2,773.33
JP¥3,283.96
+18.4%
11.0%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,566.67JP¥2,847.0016
May ’23JP¥2,683.33
JP¥3,436.22
+28.1%
12.5%JP¥4,333.33JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,554.0015
Apr ’23JP¥2,890.00
JP¥3,458.44
+19.7%
13.0%JP¥4,333.33JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,443.0015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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