Stock Analysis
Union Tool (TSE:6278) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥45.00
The board of Union Tool Co. (TSE:6278) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 31st of March, with investors receiving ¥45.00 per share. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.5% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for Union Tool
Union Tool's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. However, prior to this announcement, Union Tool was quite comfortably covering its dividend with earnings and it was paying more than 75% of its free cash flow to shareholders. The business is earning enough to make the dividend feasible, but the cash payout ratio of 75% shows that most of the cash is going back to the shareholders, which could constrain growth prospects going forward.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 20.7%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 32%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥34.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥90.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% a year over that time. Union Tool has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that Union Tool has grown earnings per share at 12% per year over the past five years. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for Union Tool's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.
Our Thoughts On Union Tool's Dividend
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Union Tool will make a great income stock. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Union Tool has been making. We don't think Union Tool is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Union Tool that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6278
Union Tool
Engages in the production and sale of cutting tools, linear motion products, and metal machining equipment in Japan and internationally.