Fuji Valuation

Is 6134 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6134 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6134 (¥2232.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8896.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6134 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6134?

Key metric: As 6134 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6134. This is calculated by dividing 6134's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6134's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.5x
EarningsJP¥10.42b
Market CapJP¥203.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6134's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6134 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
15.6x16.6%JP¥167.3b
6371 Tsubakimoto Chain
9.2x-2.6%JP¥196.2b
6508 Meidensha
12.5x6.9%JP¥186.5b
6103 Okuma
13.2x11.7%JP¥188.2b
6134 Fuji
19.5x23.4%JP¥203.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6134 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6134's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6134 19.5xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies39PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6134 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6134's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6134 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.5x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6134 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6134 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,232.50
JP¥2,805.00
+25.6%
7.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,500.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥2,243.50
JP¥2,745.00
+22.4%
10.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,270.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥2,323.00
JP¥2,778.33
+19.6%
9.5%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,270.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥2,440.00
JP¥2,711.67
+11.1%
9.2%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,270.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥2,415.50
JP¥2,678.33
+10.9%
9.8%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,270.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥2,570.00
JP¥2,678.33
+4.2%
9.8%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,270.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥2,535.50
JP¥2,678.33
+5.6%
9.8%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,270.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥2,662.00
JP¥2,651.67
-0.4%
12.5%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,010.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥2,667.50
JP¥2,651.67
-0.6%
12.5%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,010.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥2,687.50
JP¥2,651.67
-1.3%
12.5%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,010.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥2,515.50
JP¥2,585.00
+2.8%
11.4%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,010.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥2,425.00
JP¥2,551.67
+5.2%
11.8%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,010.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥2,512.00
JP¥2,551.67
+1.6%
11.8%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,010.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥2,298.00
JP¥2,616.67
+13.9%
12.8%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,243.506
Oct ’24JP¥2,324.00
JP¥2,616.67
+12.6%
12.8%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,323.006
Sep ’24JP¥2,429.00
JP¥2,650.00
+9.1%
13.2%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,440.006
Aug ’24JP¥2,605.00
JP¥2,850.00
+9.4%
15.4%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,415.506
Jul ’24JP¥2,541.50
JP¥2,850.00
+12.1%
15.4%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,570.006
Jun ’24JP¥2,270.00
JP¥2,500.00
+10.1%
20.3%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,535.506
May ’24JP¥2,308.00
JP¥2,520.00
+9.2%
20.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,662.005
Apr ’24JP¥2,234.00
JP¥2,520.00
+12.8%
20.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,667.505
Mar ’24JP¥2,102.00
JP¥2,483.33
+18.1%
19.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,687.506
Feb ’24JP¥2,143.00
JP¥2,483.33
+15.9%
19.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,515.506
Jan ’24JP¥1,930.00
JP¥2,483.33
+28.7%
19.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,425.006
Dec ’23JP¥2,109.00
JP¥2,580.00
+22.3%
18.2%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,512.005
Nov ’23JP¥1,963.00
JP¥2,716.00
+38.4%
17.7%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,298.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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