Okabe Valuation

Is 5959 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5959 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5959 (¥791) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥802.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5959 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5959?

Key metric: As 5959 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 5959. This is calculated by dividing 5959's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 5959's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesJP¥69.61b
Market CapJP¥36.86b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 5959's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 5959 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
7438 Kondotec
0.5xn/aJP¥35.0b
5262 Nippon Hume
0.8xn/aJP¥29.9b
7925 Maezawa Kasei Industries
1.1xn/aJP¥26.6b
7971 TOLI
0.3xn/aJP¥27.2b
5959 Okabe
0.5xn/aJP¥36.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 5959 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 5959's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Building Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5202 Nippon Sheet Glass Company
0.04x2.1%US$203.69m
5932 Sankyo TateyamaInc
0.06xn/aUS$146.86m
5940 FujisashLtd
0.08xn/aUS$57.78m
No more companies available in this PS range
5959 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies7PS00.40.81.21.62+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 5959 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the JP Building industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5959's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5959 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 5959's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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