Toyo Tanso Co., Ltd.

TSE:5310 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥96.6b

Toyo Tanso Valuation

Is 5310 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5310 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5310 (¥4470) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7874.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5310 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5310?

Key metric: As 5310 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5310. This is calculated by dividing 5310's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5310's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.6x
EarningsJP¥8.89b
Market CapJP¥96.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5310's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5310 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
6651 Nitto Kogyo
10.6x2.9%JP¥110.3b
6516 Sanyo Denki
15.4x14.3%JP¥98.1b
6652 IDEC
29.1x28.1%JP¥73.1b
7931 Mirai IndustryLtd
11.8x-2.4%JP¥60.5b
5310 Toyo Tanso
10.6x9.3%JP¥96.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5310 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the peer average (16.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5310's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Electrical Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
5310 10.6xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5310 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the JP Electrical industry average (11.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5310's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5310 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5310 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5310 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,470.00
JP¥7,486.25
+67.5%
21.3%JP¥10,000.00JP¥5,000.00n/a8
Nov ’25JP¥5,110.00
JP¥8,136.25
+59.2%
12.3%JP¥10,000.00JP¥6,500.00n/a8
Oct ’25JP¥5,900.00
JP¥8,136.25
+37.9%
12.3%JP¥10,000.00JP¥6,500.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥5,720.00
JP¥8,098.75
+41.6%
12.1%JP¥10,000.00JP¥6,500.00n/a8
Aug ’25JP¥6,250.00
JP¥8,736.25
+39.8%
8.1%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,900.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥6,660.00
JP¥8,736.25
+31.2%
8.1%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,900.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥6,700.00
JP¥8,753.75
+30.7%
7.9%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,900.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥7,820.00
JP¥8,728.75
+11.6%
8.0%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,900.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥7,950.00
JP¥8,153.75
+2.6%
7.6%JP¥9,300.00JP¥7,000.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥6,940.00
JP¥7,087.50
+2.1%
16.4%JP¥8,200.00JP¥4,500.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥4,975.00
JP¥6,225.00
+25.1%
12.5%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,500.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥4,785.00
JP¥6,214.29
+29.9%
13.4%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,500.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥4,460.00
JP¥6,214.29
+39.3%
13.4%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,500.00n/a7
Nov ’24JP¥5,050.00
JP¥6,428.57
+27.3%
10.4%JP¥7,600.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥5,110.007
Oct ’24JP¥5,420.00
JP¥6,428.57
+18.6%
10.4%JP¥7,600.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥5,900.007
Sep ’24JP¥5,990.00
JP¥5,971.43
-0.3%
12.8%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥5,720.007
Aug ’24JP¥5,900.00
JP¥5,457.14
-7.5%
10.4%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥6,250.007
Jul ’24JP¥5,120.00
JP¥5,190.00
+1.4%
8.5%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥6,660.007
Jun ’24JP¥5,060.00
JP¥5,155.00
+1.9%
9.6%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,500.00JP¥6,700.006
May ’24JP¥4,155.00
JP¥4,816.00
+15.9%
6.6%JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,500.00JP¥7,820.005
Apr ’24JP¥4,105.00
JP¥4,720.00
+15.0%
6.0%JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,500.00JP¥7,950.004
Mar ’24JP¥4,530.00
JP¥4,734.00
+4.5%
5.7%JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,400.00JP¥6,940.005
Feb ’24JP¥4,135.00
JP¥4,774.00
+15.5%
7.2%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,400.00JP¥4,975.005
Jan ’24JP¥3,760.00
JP¥4,774.00
+27.0%
7.2%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,400.00JP¥4,785.005
Dec ’23JP¥3,965.00
JP¥4,662.50
+17.6%
9.3%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,460.004
Nov ’23JP¥3,680.00
JP¥4,425.00
+20.2%
13.1%JP¥5,400.00JP¥3,900.00JP¥5,050.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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