Stock Analysis

Shinwa's (TSE:3447) Dividend Will Be ¥16.00

Published
TSE:3447

The board of Shinwa Co., Ltd. (TSE:3447) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 10th of June, with investors receiving ¥16.00 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 4.3%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Shinwa

Shinwa's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Shinwa was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

EPS is set to fall by 16.9% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 86% in the next 12 months which is on the higher end of the range we would say is sustainable.

TSE:3447 Historic Dividend December 4th 2024

Shinwa's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Shinwa's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥44.00 in 2017 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥32.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 4.4% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Shinwa's EPS has fallen by approximately 17% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While Shinwa is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Shinwa is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Shinwa has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.